Michael Penix Jr. is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Washington. Michael's 2023 season ranks in the 83th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 551 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Howard | Ohio State | 2024 | 565 | 0.670 | 14.5 | 378.8 |
| J.T. Barrett | Ohio State | 2017 | 576 | 0.593 | 14.1 | 341.6 |
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
| Tanner Mordecai | SMU | 2021 | 510 | 0.630 | 14.0 | 321.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | 2015 | 577 | 0.561 | 14.1 | 323.7 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBoise State | W56-19 | 5.9 | 29/40 | 450 | 5 | 0 | 92.7 | -2 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 2 | vsTulsa | W43-10 | -13.7 | 28/38 | 409 | 3 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Washington | 12.2 | 0.541 | — | 315.3 |
| 2023 | Washington | 14.2 | 0.650 | +0.11 | 382.2 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 29/38 · Pass Yds 430 · Pass TD 2 · INT 0
| 1 |
| 90.4 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0.83 |
| 3 | @Michigan State | W41-7 | -6.8 | 27/35 | 473 | 4 | 0 | 98.2 | — | — | 0.86 |
| 4 | vsCalifornia | W59-32 | -0.1 | 19/25 | 304 | 4 | 1 | 92.9 | 5 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 5 | @Arizona | W31-24 | 14.1 | 30/40 | 363 | 0 | 0 | 84.1 | -5 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 7 | vsOregon | W36-33 | 26.2 | 22/37 | 302 | 4 | 1 | 89.2 | -5 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 8 | vsArizona State | W15-7 | -11.3 | 27/42 | 275 | 0 | 2 | 41.4 | -1 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 9 | @Stanford | W42-33 | -11.9 | 21/38 | 369 | 4 | 1 | 54.4 | -12 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 10 | @USC | W52-42 | 9.4 | 22/30 | 256 | 2 | 1 | 90.5 | -4 | 1 | 0.49 |
| 11 | vsUtah | W35-28 | 8.5 | 24/42 | 332 | 2 | 0 | 88.6 | -14 | 1 | 0.39 |
| 12 | @Oregon State | W22-20 | 12.6 | 13/28 | 162 | 2 | 0 | 85.6 | 22 | 1 | 0.42 |
| 13 | vsWashington State | W24-21 | 4.9 | 18/33 | 204 | 2 | 1 | 53.1 | -9 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 14 | vsOregon | W34-31 | 26.2 | 27/39 | 319 | 1 | 1 | 87.8 | -4 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 1 | vsMichigan | L13-34 | 31.3 | 27/51 | 255 | 1 | 2 | — | -5 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 1 | vsTexas | W37-31 | 23.2 | 29/38 | 430 | 2 | 0 | 97.7 | 31 | 0 | 0.09 |