Michael Penix Jr. is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Washington. Michael's 2022 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 563 plays — a average rate for the QB.
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | 2015 | 577 | 0.561 | 14.1 | 323.7 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsKent State | W45-20 | -13.1 | 26/39 | 345 | 4 | 0 | 83.9 | 27 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | vsPortland State | W52-6 | — | 20/27 | 337 | 2 | 1 | 87.3 | — | — | 0.78 |
| 3 | vsMichigan State | W39-28 | 1.2 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Washington | 12.2 | 0.541 | — | 315.3 |
| 2023 | Washington | 14.2 | 0.650 | +0.11 | 382.2 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 32/54 · Pass Yds 287 · Pass TD 2 · INT 1
| 24/40 |
| 397 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 91.9 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0.41 |
| 4 | vsStanford | W40-22 | -7.2 | 22/37 | 309 | 2 | 0 | 63.7 | -5 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 5 | @UCLA | L32-40 | 15.0 | 33/48 | 345 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | -1 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 6 | @Arizona State | L38-45 | -4.1 | 33/53 | 311 | 0 | 1 | 55.2 | -6 | 1 | 0.17 |
| 7 | vsArizona | W49-39 | -3.2 | 36/44 | 516 | 4 | 0 | 90.7 | 13 | 1 | 0.85 |
| 8 | @California | W28-21 | -3.0 | 36/51 | 374 | 2 | 0 | 76.7 | -14 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 10 | vsOregon State | W24-21 | 14.3 | 30/52 | 298 | 1 | 1 | 65.7 | 8 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 11 | @Oregon | W37-34 | 18.9 | 26/35 | 408 | 2 | 1 | 93.9 | 20 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 12 | vsColorado | W54-7 | -20.4 | 19/31 | 229 | 1 | 0 | 59.2 | 6 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 13 | @Washington State | W51-33 | 9.5 | 25/43 | 485 | 3 | 1 | 96.3 | 34 | 2 | 0.71 |
| 1 | vsTexas | W27-20 | 23.1 | 32/54 | 287 | 2 | 1 | — | 6 | 0 | 0.20 |