Baker Mayfield is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Oklahoma. Baker's 2015 season ranks in the 78th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 513 plays — a above-average rate for the QB. Baker's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Mordecai | SMU | 2021 | 510 | 0.630 | 14.0 | 321.5 |
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
| J.T. Barrett | Ohio State | 2017 | 576 | 0.593 | 14.1 | 341.6 |
| Malik Cunningham | Louisville | 2021 | 502 | 0.681 | 14.7 | 341.6 |
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAkron | W41-3 | -0.8 | 23/33 | 388 | 3 | 0 | 65.4 | 8 | 1 | 0.57 |
| 2 | @Tennessee | W31-24 | 19.5 | 19/39 | 187 | 3 | 2 | 36.4 | 46 | 1 | 0.10 |
| 3 | vsTulsa | W52-38 | -8.5 | 32/38 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Oklahoma | 14.1 | 0.561 | — | 323.7 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma | 22.5 | 0.854 | +0.29 | 413.2 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma | 21.5 | 0.798 | -0.06 | 437.3 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 26/41 · Pass Yds 311 · Pass TD 1 · INT 2
| 487 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 96.3 |
| 85 |
| 2 |
| 0.82 |
| 5 | vsWest Virginia | W44-24 | 12.9 | 14/25 | 320 | 3 | 1 | 58.6 | -1 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 6 | vsTexas | L17-24 | 3.7 | 20/28 | 211 | 1 | 0 | 32.1 | -5 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 7 | @Kansas State | W55-0 | 2.6 | 20/27 | 282 | 5 | 0 | 91.9 | 33 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 8 | vsTexas Tech | W63-27 | 4.5 | 15/22 | 212 | 2 | 1 | 61.7 | 16 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 9 | @Kansas | W62-7 | -21.3 | 27/32 | 383 | 4 | 0 | 96.6 | 16 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 10 | vsIowa State | W52-16 | -0.3 | 23/31 | 342 | 3 | 0 | 81.2 | 27 | 1 | 0.51 |
| 11 | @Baylor | W44-34 | 19.5 | 24/34 | 270 | 3 | 1 | 85.7 | 76 | 1 | 0.50 |
| 12 | vsTCU | W30-29 | 19.0 | 9/20 | 127 | 2 | 0 | 59.1 | 42 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 13 | @Oklahoma State | W58-23 | 9.9 | 17/25 | 180 | 2 | 0 | 86.4 | 77 | 1 | 0.56 |
| 1 | vsClemson | L17-37 | 24.0 | 26/41 | 311 | 1 | 2 | 52.7 | -15 | 0 | 0.06 |
