Baker Mayfield is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Oklahoma. Baker's 2017 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 490 plays — a elite rate for the QB. Baker's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | Ohio State | 2021 | 493 | 0.890 | 22.4 | 438.8 |
| Mac Jones | Alabama | 2020 | 457 | 0.830 | 19.2 | 379.3 |
| Kyler Murray | Oklahoma | 2018 | 563 | 0.875 | 24.5 | 492.9 |
| Marcus Mariota | Oregon | 2014 | 610 | 0.713 | 19.2 | 434.8 |
| C.J. Stroud | Ohio State | 2022 | 476 | 0.746 | 17.5 | 355.2 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUTEP | W56-7 | -27.4 | 19/20 | 329 | 3 | 0 | 97.9 | -8 | 0 | 0.98 |
| 2 | @Ohio State | W31-16 | 30.9 | 27/35 | 386 | 3 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Oklahoma | 14.1 | 0.561 | — | 323.7 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma | 22.5 | 0.854 | +0.29 | 413.2 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma | 21.5 | 0.798 | -0.06 | 437.3 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 23/35 · Pass Yds 287 · Pass TD 2 · INT 1
| 0 |
| 87.5 |
| -5 |
| 0 |
| 0.60 |
| 3 | vsTulane | W56-14 | -5.7 | 17/27 | 331 | 4 | 0 | 93.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 4 | @Baylor | W49-41 | -1.4 | 13/19 | 283 | 3 | 0 | 90.0 | 30 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 6 | vsIowa State | L31-38 | 7.5 | 24/33 | 306 | 2 | 0 | 91.8 | 57 | 1 | 0.57 |
| 7 | vsTexas | W29-24 | 10.6 | 17/27 | 302 | 2 | 1 | 69.1 | 27 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 8 | @Kansas State | W42-35 | 10.9 | 32/41 | 410 | 2 | 1 | 94.6 | 69 | 2 | 0.52 |
| 9 | vsTexas Tech | W49-27 | 4.8 | 22/34 | 281 | 4 | 1 | 81.7 | 20 | 1 | 0.53 |
| 10 | @Oklahoma State | W62-52 | 19.1 | 24/36 | 598 | 5 | 2 | — | -9 | 1 | 1.07 |
| 11 | vsTCU | W38-20 | 18.9 | 18/27 | 333 | 3 | 0 | — | 50 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 12 | @Kansas | W41-3 | -14.8 | 20/30 | 257 | 3 | 0 | 83.5 | 9 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 13 | vsWest Virginia | W59-31 | 5.6 | 14/17 | 281 | 3 | 0 | 98.9 | 5 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 14 | vsTCU | W41-17 | 18.9 | 15/23 | 243 | 4 | 0 | 93.8 | 65 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 1 | vsGeorgia | L48-54 | 26.7 | 23/35 | 287 | 2 | 1 | 64.0 | 1 | 0 | 0.36 |
