Guardians at Twins
CLE––
MIN–Us vs the market
book · exchangeShown for reference only. Our side model measures at a coin flip (Brier 0.253 vs 0.250), so a gap here is not an edge — it is three independent guesses, and the two market numbers are the better-informed ones. Before first pitch the first column is the league-average home win rate, not a projection for this matchup — the per-game simulation runs once the game starts.
Exchange prices are public market data from Kalshi; book lines are from the sportsbook via ESPN. Prices only — Gridpex does not accept, place, or route wagers.
- Austin Hedges10d rest
- Colin Holderman9d rest
- Carlos Hernández9d rest
- Austin Peterson7d rest
- Slade Cecconi5d rest
- Craig Yoho4d rest
- Daniel Espino3d rest · 10p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
- Garrett Acton6d rest
- Connor Prielipp5d rest
- Andrew Morris4d rest
- Taylor Rogers3d rest · 16p/3d
- Tommy Nance3d rest · 24p/3d
- Travis Adams3d rest · 42p/3d
- Jeff Hoffman1d rest · 10p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.