White Sox at Cardinals
CWS––
STL–Us vs the market
book · exchangeShown for reference only. Our side model measures at a coin flip (Brier 0.253 vs 0.250), so a gap here is not an edge — it is three independent guesses, and the two market numbers are the better-informed ones. Before first pitch the first column is the league-average home win rate, not a projection for this matchup — the per-game simulation runs once the game starts.
Exchange prices are public market data from Kalshi; book lines are from the sportsbook via ESPN. Prices only — Gridpex does not accept, place, or route wagers.
- Grant Taylor6d rest
- Hagen Smith6d rest
- José Urquidy4d rest
- Tyler Davis4d rest
- Chris Murphy3d rest · 8p/3d
- Sean Newcomb3d rest · 42p/3d
- Bryan Hudson2d rest · 9p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
- Ryan Fernandez10d rest
- Hancel Rincon7d rest
- Brycen Mautz7d rest
- Cooper Hjerpe6d rest
- George Soriano3d rest · 21p/3d
- Cade Winquest3d rest · 23p/3d
- Riley O'Brien1d rest · 11p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.