#21Marcus Yarns

RB·Delaware·2024

Marcus Yarns is a Explosive Back for Delaware. Marcus's 2024 season ranks in the 83th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 151 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Marcus Yarns's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

844 Rush yards6 Rush TD133 Carries6.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

17 Receptions297 Rec yards5 Rec TD17.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency83
Volume67
Explosiveness66
Consistency78
Receiving40

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)83th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (83th percentile).
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.24 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.99 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs UAlbany.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsBryant	W48-17	—	12	62	5.2	1	4	34	1	0.50
3	@North Carolina A&T	W42-13	—	8	40	5.0	1	1	13	0	0.51
6	@Monmouth	W42-35	—	22	142	6.5	1	1	86	1	0.37
7	vsMaine	W44-21	—	11	34	3.1	0	2	33	0	-0.14
8	@Richmond	L9-28	—	7	31	4.4	0	1	6	0	0.10
9	vsUAlbany	W28-14	—	13	127	9.8	1	2	43	2	0.99
11	vsRhode Island	W24-21	—	23	174	7.6	1	3	8	0	0.35
12	vsCampbell	W41-22	—	17	134	7.9	0	—	—	—	0.52
13	@Villanova	L28-38	—	20	100	5.0	1	3	74	1	0.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

23.4%

Passing plays

5.2%

Rushing plays

42.4%

Standard downs

27.0%

Passing downs

14.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.44
Passing downs: 0.27
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.51 / 0.26

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).