vs Coastal Carolina · Wk 3Win prob 92%Model -22.2Schedule & Results
VANVanderbiltL26-35✓Wk 3vsCCUCoastal Carolina-22.292%Wk 4@
UVAVirginia+21.38%Wk 5vs
LIBLiberty-7.167%Wk 7@
MTSUMiddle Tennessee-11.877%Wk 8vs
MOSTMissouri State-9.773%Wk 9@
WKUWestern Kentucky0.050%Wk 10@
KENNKennesaw State-6.866%Wk 11vs
FIUFlorida International-17.186%Wk 12@
NMSUNew Mexico State-11.677%Wk 13vs
JXSTJacksonville State-11.477%Team Leaders
Nick MinicucciPassing512 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
Jo'Nathan SilverRushing128 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 avg
Da'Wain LoftonReceiving7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD
Gavin MoulTackles16 tackles · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
Roster · 106 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riley Trujillo | QB | JR | 6'4" | 215 | St. Johns, FL |
| 4 | Nick Minicucci | QB | SR | 6'2" | 215 | Midland Park, NJ |
| 7 | Tyler Bell | QB | FR | 6'1" | 195 | East Rutherford, NJ |
| 11 | EJ Archield Jr. | QB | SO | 6'4" | 215 | Tampa, FL |
| 16 | Braden Streeter | QB | JR | 6'2" | 215 | Franklin, TN |
| 19 | Sean Sutherland | QB | FR | 6'2" | 184 | Potomac Falls, VA |
| 3 | Kaderris Roberts | RB | SR | 5'9" | 175 | Zellwood, FL |
| 21 | Viron Ellison Jr. | RB | JR | 6'0" | 212 | Lewisville, TX |
| 25 | Jared Porter | RB | SO | 5'7" | 187 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 26 | Greg Spiller | RB | JR | 5'10" | 205 | Ashburn, VA |
| 27 | Jo Silver | RB | SR | 5'10" | 200 | Washington Township, NJ |
| 28 | Nakeem Powell | RB | FR | 6'0" | 200 | Sicklerville, NJ |
| 30 | Reginald Lea II | RB | FR | 5'10" | 220 | Newark, DE |
| 34 | Naseem Tention | RB | FR | 5'11" | 185 | Baltimore, MD |
| 0 | Bryson Graves | WR | JR | 5'10" | 177 | Florence, SC |
| 1 | Brandon Rehmann | WR | JR | 6'0" | 190 | Blackwood, NJ |
| 5 | Da'Wain Lofton | WR | SR | 5'11" | 190 | Fort Worth, TX |
| 6 | Nick Tyree | WR | JR | 5'8" | 182 | Chester, VA |
| 10 | Tae'Sean Robinson | WR | FR | 6'0" | 188 | Tampa, FL |
| 13 | Ty Salazer | WR | SO | 5'11" | 171 | State College, PA |
| 14 | Donovan Lewis | WR | SR | 5'9" | 190 | Westminster, MD |
| 17 | Emmanuel Doku | WR | SO | 6'5" | 210 | Willingboro, NJ |
| 18 | Sean Wilson | WR | JR | 6'0" | 190 | Alpharetta, GA |
| 43 | Luke Brown | WR | JR | 5'10" | 180 | Marlton, NJ |
| 80 | Matthew McKinley-Daniels | WR | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Gainesville, FL |
| 81 | Jake Blum | WR | FR | 6'1" | 193 | Northfield, NJ |
| 83 | Calvin Thomas | WR | SO | 6'2" | 190 | Gainesville, FL |
| 84 | Ashton Navarrete | WR | SR | 5'9" | 180 | Hawthorne, NJ |
| 87 | Carson Griffin | WR | FR | 6'2" | 185 | Lynn Haven, FL |
| 89 | Brandon DeAngelo | WR | FR | 5'10" | 170 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 12 | Josh Humes | TE | SR | 6'1" | 230 | Hernando, MS |
| 15 | Rowen Walsh | TE | FR | 6'5" | 240 | Annapolis, MD |
| 40 | Scott Moore | TE | SO | 6'5" | 250 | Girard, KS |
| 41 | David Oravetz | TE | FR | 6'4" | 245 | Greenwich, NJ |
| 85 | Jackson Whitacre | TE | JR | 6'4" | 245 | Oceanport, NJ |
| 86 | Jaxson Bowman | TE | SO | 6'5" | 255 | Cherry Hill, NJ |
| 88 | Elijah Sessoms | TE | SR | 6'4" | 250 | Dover, DE |
| 51 | Chandler Telfaire | OL | SO | 6'4" | 305 | Garner, NC |
| 52 | Miles Muldrow | OL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Franklin, NJ |
| 55 | Dylan Stewart | OL | SO | 6'4" | 314 | Burlington, KY |
| 59 | Patrick Methlie | OL | SR | 6'3" | 305 | Avondale, PA |
| 60 | Carter Sareyka | OL | JR | 6'5" | 315 | Newark, DE |
| 61 | Steven Demboski | OL | SR | 6'4" | 305 | Hillsdale, NJ |
| 62 | Anthony Caccese | OL | SR | 6'6" | 305 | Reading, PA |
| 63 | Collier Book | OL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Dauphin, PA |
| 65 | Wahkeem Roman | OL | SR | 6'6" | 315 | Elizabeth, NJ |
| 67 | Mustafa Kanneh | OL | SR | 6'4" | 320 | Columbus, OH |
| 71 | Brandon Truszkowski | OL | FR | 6'7" | 300 | Hatfield, PA |
| 74 | Tyler Burnham | OL | JR | 6'6" | 320 | Long Branch, NJ |
| 75 | Noah Rosahac | OL | JR | 6'5" | 300 | Jim Thorpe, PA |
| 77 | Jack Small | OL | JR | 6'8" | 310 | Northvale, NJ |
| 78 | Bentley Allen II | OL | SO | 6'5" | 325 | Bowie, MD |
| 79 | Jaiden Edwards | OL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Fredericksburg, VA |
| 0 | Q'yaeir Price | DE | SR | 6'2" | 245 | Paterson, NJ |
| 3 | Brandon Gorham | DE | SO | 6'3" | 245 | Odenton, MD |
| 13 | Noah Matthews | DE | SR | 6'5" | 255 | Bridgeville, DE |
| 14 | James Steel | DE | SO | 6'4" | 285 | Swedesboro, NJ |
| 44 | Kaeden Singleton | DE | JR | 6'3" | 250 | Lawrence, PA |
| 49 | Yamdry Hernandez | DE | SO | 6'3" | 242 | Atlantic City, NJ |
| 88 | Sam Siafa | DE | SR | 6'4" | 300 | Downingtown, PA |
| 89 | Nate Ray | DE | SR | 6'2" | 255 | Wilmington, DE |
| 28 | Quincy Smith | DT | JR | 6'1" | 280 | Atlanta, GA |
| 33 | Trace Scott III | DT | JR | 6'4" | 275 | Orlando, FL |
| 52 | Dominick Brogna | DT | SR | 6'2" | 300 | Bayville, NJ |
| 53 | Carson Shockley | DT | JR | 6'2" | 245 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 90 | Noah Frazier | DT | FR | 6'2" | 270 | Spring Hill, FL |
| 91 | Christian Corbin | DT | FR | 6'2" | 292 | Newport News, VA |
| 96 | Dylan Mann | DT | SR | 6'1" | 310 | Atlanta, GA |
| 4 | Demarco Daniels | LB | FR | 6'1" | 215 | Hawthorne, FL |
| 9 | Colin Gallagher | LB | JR | 6'1" | 220 | Middletown, NJ |
| 10 | Blake Matthews | LB | SR | 6'2" | 215 | Bremen, GA |
| 11 | Jawarren Corbin | LB | SR | 6'1" | 235 | Wildwood, FL |
| 15 | Gevaris Lassiter | LB | SO | 6'2" | 215 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 20 | Jalen Bell | LB | JR | 6'2" | 192 | Kissimmee, FL |
| 32 | Joseph Zamot | LB | FR | 6'0" | 215 | Millville, NJ |
| 35 | Gavin Moul | LB | SR | 6'0" | 227 | Bethel Park, PA |
| 37 | Dillon Griffith | LB | SO | 6'0" | 195 | Newark, DE |
| 42 | Wayne Cunningham Jr. | LB | FR | 6'2" | 220 | Clearwater, FL |
| 46 | Julius Puryear | LB | SO | 6'2" | 220 | Stuart, FL |
| 54 | Tysean Milligan Jr. | LB | SR | 5'11" | 235 | Dover, DE |
| 57 | Gehret Gentzyel | LB | FR | 6'2" | 215 | York, PA |
| 6 | Kshawn Cox Jr. | CB | SR | 5'10" | 180 | Bridgeville, DE |
| 8 | Jaquise Alexander | CB | SR | 5'11" | 175 | Tampa, FL |
| 18 | Jamarion Kolagbodi | CB | SO | 6'0" | 180 | Fort Wayne, IN |
| 21 | Trent Gummer | CB | FR | 5'10" | 175 | Orlando, FL |
| 23 | Shawn Church Jr. | CB | FR | 6'3" | 195 | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 24 | Jalen Ross | CB | SO | 6'0" | 180 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 25 | Azir Lee | CB | SO | 6'0" | 180 | Camden, NJ |
| 30 | Jaylen Mack | CB | JR | 5'9" | 170 | Douglasville, GA |
| 34 | Walter Anderson | CB | FR | 5'10" | 159 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 38 | Derrick Phillips Jr. | CB | SR | 6'0" | 170 | Hainesport, NJ |
| 2 | Kahlil Ali | S | SR | 6'1" | 200 | Pennsauken, NJ |
| 5 | Dannell Jester Jr. | S | FR | 6'0" | 185 | Meigs, GA |
| 7 | KT Seay | S | SR | 6'2" | 190 | Norfolk, VA |
| 16 | Noah Jefferson | S | SO | 6'2" | 194 | Hampton, VA |
| 19 | Kevin Moore | S | FR | 6'1" | 195 | Coram, NY |
| 22 | Dorian Rutledge | S | FR | 6'2" | 185 | Chester, PA |
| 27 | AJ Graham | S | SO | 6'1" | 205 | Mooresville, NC |
| 29 | George Mullins | S | SO | 6'3" | 190 | Webster, FL |
| 36 | Nasir Eatmon | S | SO | 6'0" | 190 | Waldorf, MD |
| 31 | Tucker Smack | PK | SR | 5'11" | 174 | Severna Park, MD |
| 92 | Kason Mullis | PK | FR | 6'4" | 193 | Bartow, FL |
| 39 | Josh Cupitt | P | SR | 5'11" | 185 | Reading, PA |
| 99 | Austin LaBellman | P | FR | 6'3" | 205 | Maitland, FL |
| 45 | Luke Epstein | LS | FR | 5'10" | 183 | St. Charles, IL |
| 49 | Maddox Sills | LS | SO | 6'5" | 230 | Benson, NC |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Delaware is in year 2 under Ryan Carty. The strengths are offensive, led by 24th on first and second down. The way in is 137th at keeping everything in front of them, and they are 109th at keeping opponents off schedule through the air.
Delaware has played 2 games against an average slate, adjusted for here. That football carries about 0% of what is below; the rest is still the preseason projection.
Projected strengths
- Offensefirst and second down#24projected
- Offensestaying on schedule through the air#27projected
Projected soft spots
- Defensehitting chunk plays#137projected
- Defensestaying on schedule through the air#109projected
- Defenserunning it#108projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 10 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 2.03#135
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 1.22 / 0.86
- Power / stuff (off)
- 55.6% / 28.6%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 18.8%#43
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 9.0% / 9.7%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | -0.03#99 | 0.38#43 | 0.49#76 |
| Defense | -0.25#21 | -0.05#34 | 0.34#70 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 46 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.1633rd
- Defense EPA/play allowed-0.0883rd
- Offense success rate40%28th
- Defense success rate allowed31%81st
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs48%42nd
- Offense success — passing downs27%24th
- Defense success allowed — standard downs39%68th
- Defense success allowed — passing downs18%90th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.486th
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.329th
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs1.152nd
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs2.692nd
Trenches
- Offense line yards2.410th
- Defense line yards allowed2.278th
- Offense highlight yards0.8842nd
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.3977th
- Offense power success0.6025th
- Defense power success allowed0.5078th
- Offense stuff rate0.259th
- Defense stuff rate0.2042nd
Third down
- Third down conversion33%21st
- Third down distance faced9.31st
- Third down conversion allowed29%76th
- Third down distance forced8.176th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.1259th
- Net success rate — second half0.0754th
Drives
- Points per drive1.020th
- Points per drive allowed2.541st
- Average starting field position2518th
- Opponent starting field position3710th
- Available yards gained35%23rd
- Available yards allowed57%33rd
- Scoring opportunities per drive69%24th
- Scoring opportunities allowed91%24th
- Points per scoring opportunity2.235th
- Points allowed per opportunity2.854th
- Three-and-out rate15%82nd
- Three-and-outs forced18%33rd
CORE
- CORE offense-1.925th
- CORE defense-2.664th
- CORE overall0.6651st
Roster
- Returning usage92%96th
- Returning EPA30096th
- Team talent composite4833rd
- Recruiting class rank11517th
- Recruiting class points16717th
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Pass efficiency edge: 0.312 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes primarily from the secondary.
Season Signature
1-1 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
What a possession is worth · 13 drives
Play-calling identity
Against what the league calls from the same down, distance, field position, score and clock — so this is the staff, not the game script.
- Pass rate
- 55.6%
- Expected, given the spots
- 59.5%
- Over expected
- -4.0
- Fourth down vs peers
- -5
- Fourth down vs the model
- +0
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Delaware is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Delaware in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 50% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 5.8 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 9-2 | 7-2 | 82% | 7.7 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 7.2 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 6.4 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 45% | 0.0 | +5.0 |
| 2020 | 7-1 | 4-0 | 88% | — | — |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 42% | 0.0 | +5.0 |
| 2018 | 7-5 | 5-4 | 58% | — | — |
| 2017 | 7-4 | 5-3 | 64% | 0.0 | +7.0 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
0-1 so far, projected to finish 7.0-5.4. Wins the Conference USA in 20%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count.
Win out and it is 31%. One bid goes to the best champion outside the four power leagues, so running the table only enters them into that argument.
up 0.0 points since preseason.
- At 1 loss they are 31% where the average Conference USA team is 24%.
- The Conference USA takes 0.03 bids in an average season.
- One bid goes to the best champion outside the P4. They take it in 0.3% of seasons, having won their league in 99% of those.
Delaware’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk4at Virginia4.0
- wk5vs Liberty0.7
- wk9at Western Kentucky0.6
- wk11vs Florida International0.5
- wk12at New Mexico State0.5
- wk3vs Coastal Carolina0.5
Who to root for
Games Delaware is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk5Marshall over James Madison0.2
- wk9UAB over South Florida0.2
- wk8Washington State over Boise State0.2
- wk6Fresno State over Boise State0.2
- wk10Tennessee over Kentucky0.2
- wk3Utah over Utah State0.2
Conference USA
0-0 in league play, projected 5.1-2.92 of 10 by title oddsThe Conference USA sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 42% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk5Liberty at Delaware27.3
- wk11Florida International at Delaware21.9
- wk9Delaware at Western Kentucky19.9
- wk13Jacksonville State at Delaware19.6
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole Conference USA race →
If not the playoff, then
Delaware is 1-1 and needs 5 more wins from 10 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent.
- Armed Forces Bowl21%
- Hawai'i Bowl16%
- New Orleans Bowl11%
- 68 Ventures Bowl6.5%
- Boca Raton Bowl5.7%
- Cure Bowl4.7%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 5 have sent Delaware a player since 2010 — 12 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Delaware's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.