Skip to content
Travis Etienne

#9Travis Etienne

RB·Clemson·20202019201820174.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Travis Etienne is a 4-year Explosive Back for Clemson. Travis's 2019 season ranks in the 93th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 234 plays — a elite rate for the RB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Travis Etienne's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9171
National rank
#216
High school
Jennings
Hometown
Jennings, LA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2019 Production

Rushing
1614 Rush yards19 Rush TD207 Carries7.8 Yards/carry
Receiving
37 Receptions432 Rec yards4 Rec TD11.7 Yards/rec
Returns
5 Kick returns119 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency93
  • Volume66
  • Explosiveness96
  • Consistency76
  • Receiving62
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)93th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg
Career trajectory:↓ Declining
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.18 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.77 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Wofford.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5
Tyjae SpearsTulane0.4505.7105.3
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.4505.8102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.7701.77Wk 1 vs Georgia Tech: +1.02 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Texas A&M: +0.24 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Syracuse: +0.21 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Charlotte: +0.28 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs North Carolina: -0.02 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Florida State: +0.47 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Louisville: +0.66 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Boston College: +0.60 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Wofford: +1.77 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs NC State: +0.63 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Wake Forest: +0.40 EPA/play12Wk 14 vs South Carolina: +0.23 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Virginia: +0.46 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs LSU: +0.32 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Ohio State: +0.32 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsGeorgia TechW52-14-12.01220517.131301.02
2vsTexas A&MW24-1015.016533.3045200.24
3@SyracuseW41-6-3.014765.4033200.21
4vsCharlotteW52-10-6.311615.510.28
5@North CarolinaW21-2010.314674.81230-0.02
7vsFlorida StateW45-141.8171277.501310.47
8@LouisvilleW45-100.21419213.7143500.66
9vsBoston CollegeW59-7-5.7161096.8333300.60
10vsWoffordW59-14921223.6212301.77
11@NC StateW55-10-6.3141128.0233110.63
12vsWake ForestW52-32.0161217.6133700.40
14@South CarolinaW38-34.815513.4233700.23
15vsVirginiaW62-176.3141148.111900.46
1vsLSUL25-4233.115785.2153600.32
1vsOhio StateW29-2335.410363.6139820.32

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
23.0%
Passing plays
7.9%
Rushing plays
37.8%
Standard downs
26.1%
Passing downs
14.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.40
Passing downs
0.85
Pass / Rush EPA
0.75 / 0.41

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.980−0.54201820192020
EPA per play · 2017 — 2020 · 54 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2017Clemson
3.2
58.9
2018Clemson
6.8
132.7
2019Clemson
4.7
100.1
2020Clemson
3.2
65.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.