vs Coastal Carolina · Wk 3Win prob 92%Model -22.2Schedule & Results
VANVanderbiltL26-35✓Wk 3vsCCUCoastal Carolina-22.292%Wk 4@
UVAVirginia+21.38%Wk 5vs
LIBLiberty-7.167%Wk 7@
MTSUMiddle Tennessee-11.877%Wk 8vs
MOSTMissouri State-9.773%Wk 9@
WKUWestern Kentucky0.050%Wk 10@
KENNKennesaw State-6.866%Wk 11vs
FIUFlorida International-17.186%Wk 12@
NMSUNew Mexico State-11.677%Wk 13vs
JXSTJacksonville State-11.477%Team Leaders
Nick MinicucciPassing512 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
Jo'Nathan SilverRushing128 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 avg
Da'Wain LoftonReceiving7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD
Gavin MoulTackles16 tackles · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
Roster · 106 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riley Trujillo | QB | JR | 6'4" | 215 | St. Johns, FL |
| 4 | Nick Minicucci | QB | SR | 6'2" | 215 | Midland Park, NJ |
| 7 | Tyler Bell | QB | FR | 6'1" | 195 | East Rutherford, NJ |
| 11 | EJ Archield Jr. | QB | SO | 6'4" | 215 | Tampa, FL |
| 16 | Braden Streeter | QB | JR | 6'2" | 215 | Franklin, TN |
| 19 | Sean Sutherland | QB | FR | 6'2" | 184 | Potomac Falls, VA |
| 3 | Kaderris Roberts | RB | SR | 5'9" | 175 | Zellwood, FL |
| 21 | Viron Ellison Jr. | RB | JR | 6'0" | 212 | Lewisville, TX |
| 25 | Jared Porter | RB | SO | 5'7" | 187 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 26 | Greg Spiller | RB | JR | 5'10" | 205 | Ashburn, VA |
| 27 | Jo Silver | RB | SR | 5'10" | 200 | Washington Township, NJ |
| 28 | Nakeem Powell | RB | FR | 6'0" | 200 | Sicklerville, NJ |
| 30 | Reginald Lea II | RB | FR | 5'10" | 220 | Newark, DE |
| 34 | Naseem Tention | RB | FR | 5'11" | 185 | Baltimore, MD |
| 0 | Bryson Graves | WR | JR | 5'10" | 177 | Florence, SC |
| 1 | Brandon Rehmann | WR | JR | 6'0" | 190 | Blackwood, NJ |
| 5 | Da'Wain Lofton | WR | SR | 5'11" | 190 | Fort Worth, TX |
| 6 | Nick Tyree | WR | JR | 5'8" | 182 | Chester, VA |
| 10 | Tae'Sean Robinson | WR | FR | 6'0" | 188 | Tampa, FL |
| 13 | Ty Salazer | WR | SO | 5'11" | 171 | State College, PA |
| 14 | Donovan Lewis | WR | SR | 5'9" | 190 | Westminster, MD |
| 17 | Emmanuel Doku | WR | SO | 6'5" | 210 | Willingboro, NJ |
| 18 | Sean Wilson | WR | JR | 6'0" | 190 | Alpharetta, GA |
| 43 | Luke Brown | WR | JR | 5'10" | 180 | Marlton, NJ |
| 80 | Matthew McKinley-Daniels | WR | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Gainesville, FL |
| 81 | Jake Blum | WR | FR | 6'1" | 193 | Northfield, NJ |
| 83 | Calvin Thomas | WR | SO | 6'2" | 190 | Gainesville, FL |
| 84 | Ashton Navarrete | WR | SR | 5'9" | 180 | Hawthorne, NJ |
| 87 | Carson Griffin | WR | FR | 6'2" | 185 | Lynn Haven, FL |
| 89 | Brandon DeAngelo | WR | FR | 5'10" | 170 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 12 | Josh Humes | TE | SR | 6'1" | 230 | Hernando, MS |
| 15 | Rowen Walsh | TE | FR | 6'5" | 240 | Annapolis, MD |
| 40 | Scott Moore | TE | SO | 6'5" | 250 | Girard, KS |
| 41 | David Oravetz | TE | FR | 6'4" | 245 | Greenwich, NJ |
| 85 | Jackson Whitacre | TE | JR | 6'4" | 245 | Oceanport, NJ |
| 86 | Jaxson Bowman | TE | SO | 6'5" | 255 | Cherry Hill, NJ |
| 88 | Elijah Sessoms | TE | SR | 6'4" | 250 | Dover, DE |
| 51 | Chandler Telfaire | OL | SO | 6'4" | 305 | Garner, NC |
| 52 | Miles Muldrow | OL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Franklin, NJ |
| 55 | Dylan Stewart | OL | SO | 6'4" | 314 | Burlington, KY |
| 59 | Patrick Methlie | OL | SR | 6'3" | 305 | Avondale, PA |
| 60 | Carter Sareyka | OL | JR | 6'5" | 315 | Newark, DE |
| 61 | Steven Demboski | OL | SR | 6'4" | 305 | Hillsdale, NJ |
| 62 | Anthony Caccese | OL | SR | 6'6" | 305 | Reading, PA |
| 63 | Collier Book | OL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Dauphin, PA |
| 65 | Wahkeem Roman | OL | SR | 6'6" | 315 | Elizabeth, NJ |
| 67 | Mustafa Kanneh | OL | SR | 6'4" | 320 | Columbus, OH |
| 71 | Brandon Truszkowski | OL | FR | 6'7" | 300 | Hatfield, PA |
| 74 | Tyler Burnham | OL | JR | 6'6" | 320 | Long Branch, NJ |
| 75 | Noah Rosahac | OL | JR | 6'5" | 300 | Jim Thorpe, PA |
| 77 | Jack Small | OL | JR | 6'8" | 310 | Northvale, NJ |
| 78 | Bentley Allen II | OL | SO | 6'5" | 325 | Bowie, MD |
| 79 | Jaiden Edwards | OL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Fredericksburg, VA |
| 0 | Q'yaeir Price | DE | SR | 6'2" | 245 | Paterson, NJ |
| 3 | Brandon Gorham | DE | SO | 6'3" | 245 | Odenton, MD |
| 13 | Noah Matthews | DE | SR | 6'5" | 255 | Bridgeville, DE |
| 14 | James Steel | DE | SO | 6'4" | 285 | Swedesboro, NJ |
| 44 | Kaeden Singleton | DE | JR | 6'3" | 250 | Lawrence, PA |
| 49 | Yamdry Hernandez | DE | SO | 6'3" | 242 | Atlantic City, NJ |
| 88 | Sam Siafa | DE | SR | 6'4" | 300 | Downingtown, PA |
| 89 | Nate Ray | DE | SR | 6'2" | 255 | Wilmington, DE |
| 28 | Quincy Smith | DT | JR | 6'1" | 280 | Atlanta, GA |
| 33 | Trace Scott III | DT | JR | 6'4" | 275 | Orlando, FL |
| 52 | Dominick Brogna | DT | SR | 6'2" | 300 | Bayville, NJ |
| 53 | Carson Shockley | DT | JR | 6'2" | 245 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 90 | Noah Frazier | DT | FR | 6'2" | 270 | Spring Hill, FL |
| 91 | Christian Corbin | DT | FR | 6'2" | 292 | Newport News, VA |
| 96 | Dylan Mann | DT | SR | 6'1" | 310 | Atlanta, GA |
| 4 | Demarco Daniels | LB | FR | 6'1" | 215 | Hawthorne, FL |
| 9 | Colin Gallagher | LB | JR | 6'1" | 220 | Middletown, NJ |
| 10 | Blake Matthews | LB | SR | 6'2" | 215 | Bremen, GA |
| 11 | Jawarren Corbin | LB | SR | 6'1" | 235 | Wildwood, FL |
| 15 | Gevaris Lassiter | LB | SO | 6'2" | 215 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 20 | Jalen Bell | LB | JR | 6'2" | 192 | Kissimmee, FL |
| 32 | Joseph Zamot | LB | FR | 6'0" | 215 | Millville, NJ |
| 35 | Gavin Moul | LB | SR | 6'0" | 227 | Bethel Park, PA |
| 37 | Dillon Griffith | LB | SO | 6'0" | 195 | Newark, DE |
| 42 | Wayne Cunningham Jr. | LB | FR | 6'2" | 220 | Clearwater, FL |
| 46 | Julius Puryear | LB | SO | 6'2" | 220 | Stuart, FL |
| 54 | Tysean Milligan Jr. | LB | SR | 5'11" | 235 | Dover, DE |
| 57 | Gehret Gentzyel | LB | FR | 6'2" | 215 | York, PA |
| 6 | Kshawn Cox Jr. | CB | SR | 5'10" | 180 | Bridgeville, DE |
| 8 | Jaquise Alexander | CB | SR | 5'11" | 175 | Tampa, FL |
| 18 | Jamarion Kolagbodi | CB | SO | 6'0" | 180 | Fort Wayne, IN |
| 21 | Trent Gummer | CB | FR | 5'10" | 175 | Orlando, FL |
| 23 | Shawn Church Jr. | CB | FR | 6'3" | 195 | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 24 | Jalen Ross | CB | SO | 6'0" | 180 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 25 | Azir Lee | CB | SO | 6'0" | 180 | Camden, NJ |
| 30 | Jaylen Mack | CB | JR | 5'9" | 170 | Douglasville, GA |
| 34 | Walter Anderson | CB | FR | 5'10" | 159 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 38 | Derrick Phillips Jr. | CB | SR | 6'0" | 170 | Hainesport, NJ |
| 2 | Kahlil Ali | S | SR | 6'1" | 200 | Pennsauken, NJ |
| 5 | Dannell Jester Jr. | S | FR | 6'0" | 185 | Meigs, GA |
| 7 | KT Seay | S | SR | 6'2" | 190 | Norfolk, VA |
| 16 | Noah Jefferson | S | SO | 6'2" | 194 | Hampton, VA |
| 19 | Kevin Moore | S | FR | 6'1" | 195 | Coram, NY |
| 22 | Dorian Rutledge | S | FR | 6'2" | 185 | Chester, PA |
| 27 | AJ Graham | S | SO | 6'1" | 205 | Mooresville, NC |
| 29 | George Mullins | S | SO | 6'3" | 190 | Webster, FL |
| 36 | Nasir Eatmon | S | SO | 6'0" | 190 | Waldorf, MD |
| 31 | Tucker Smack | PK | SR | 5'11" | 174 | Severna Park, MD |
| 92 | Kason Mullis | PK | FR | 6'4" | 193 | Bartow, FL |
| 39 | Josh Cupitt | P | SR | 5'11" | 185 | Reading, PA |
| 99 | Austin LaBellman | P | FR | 6'3" | 205 | Maitland, FL |
| 45 | Luke Epstein | LS | FR | 5'10" | 183 | St. Charles, IL |
| 49 | Maddox Sills | LS | SO | 6'5" | 230 | Benson, NC |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Delaware is in year 2 under Ryan Carty. The strengths are offensive, led by 34th on first and second down. The way in is 136th at keeping everything in front of them, and they are 108th at defending the run.
Delaware has not played an FBS opponent yet, so this is the projection: last season regressed toward the mean, plus returning production, recruiting, talent and whether the staff is the same one.
Projected strengths
- Offensefirst and second down#34projected
Projected soft spots
- Defensehitting chunk plays#136projected
- Defenserunning it#108projected
- Defensestaying on schedule through the air#106projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 10 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 2.01#127
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 1.22 / 0.86
- Power / stuff (off)
- 55.6% / 30.6%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 18.9%#51
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 9.1% / 9.8%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | -0.03#99 | 0.38#46 | 0.49#83 |
| Defense | -0.25#30 | -0.05#38 | 0.34#69 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 31 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.4073rd
- Defense EPA/play allowed-0.1280th
- Offense success rate47%57th
- Defense success rate allowed25%88th
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs54%63rd
- Offense success — passing downs33%52nd
- Defense success allowed — standard downs30%85th
- Defense success allowed — passing downs19%76th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.582nd
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.420th
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs1.172nd
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs2.588th
Trenches
- Offense line yards2.939th
- Defense line yards allowed2.076th
- Offense highlight yards0.6134th
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.3665th
- Offense power success0.6029th
- Defense power success allowed0.0099th
- Offense stuff rate0.2516th
- Defense stuff rate0.1842nd
Third down
- Third down conversion50%66th
- Third down distance faced7.622nd
- Third down conversion allowed25%77th
- Third down distance forced8.169th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.2978th
- Net success rate — second half0.1565th
Roster
- Returning usage92%96th
- Returning EPA30096th
- Team talent composite4833rd
- Recruiting class rank11517th
- Recruiting class points16717th
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Pass efficiency edge: 0.312 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes primarily from the secondary.
Season Signature
1-1 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Delaware is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Delaware in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 100% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 5.8 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 9-2 | 7-2 | 82% | 7.7 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 7.2 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 6.4 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 45% | 0.0 | +5.0 |
| 2020 | 7-1 | 4-0 | 88% | — | — |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 42% | 0.0 | +5.0 |
| 2018 | 7-5 | 5-4 | 58% | — | — |
| 2017 | 7-4 | 5-3 | 64% | 0.0 | +7.0 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
0-0 so far, projected to finish 6.3-5.9. Wins the Conference USA in 13%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count.
up 0.1 points since preseason.
- At 1 loss they are 25% where the average Conference USA team is 13%.
- The Conference USA takes 0.02 bids in an average season.
- One bid goes to the best champion outside the P4. They take it in 0.4% of seasons, having won their league in 100% of those.
Delaware’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk4at Virginia4.1
- wk2at Vanderbilt3.2
- wk5vs Liberty1.0
- wk10at Kennesaw State0.9
- wk9at Western Kentucky0.8
- wk12at New Mexico State0.8
Who to root for
Games Delaware is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk13Georgia over Georgia Tech0.3
- wk9Notre Dame over Navy0.3
- wk3Massachusetts over Stonehill0.2
- wk11Oregon State over Boise State0.2
- wk7Kent State over South Florida0.2
- wk2Nebraska over Bowling Green0.2
Conference USA
0-0 in league play, projected 4.5-3.53 of 10 by title oddsThe Conference USA sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 42% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk5Liberty at Delaware22.2
- wk10Delaware at Kennesaw State18.2
- wk4Delaware at Virginia17.6
- wk9Delaware at Western Kentucky17.2
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole Conference USA race →
If not the playoff, then
Delaware is 1-0 and needs 5 more wins from 11 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent.
- Hawai'i Bowl14%
- Armed Forces Bowl13%
- New Orleans Bowl11%
- 68 Ventures Bowl7.5%
- Boca Raton Bowl5.2%
- Cure Bowl3.7%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 5 have sent Delaware a player since 2010 — 12 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Delaware's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.