#21Johnny Langan

TE·Rutgers·2021 2020 20190.0 pts line value1st Round

Johnny Langan is a 3-year Workhorse Receiver TE for Rutgers. Johnny's 2019 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 228 plays — a developing rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Johnny Langan's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Passing

80/159 Comp/Att840 Pass yards4 Pass TD9 INT50.3% Comp %

Rushing

385 Rush yards3 Rush TD133 Carries2.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs TE peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Explosiveness20
Consistency28
Pass-Down100

Player type

Workhorse Receiver TE

The primary target in the offense — used across all situations and down-types at an elite volume.

Top target shareAll-down utilityOffense runs through this player

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency28th %ile · below avg

Career trajectory:→ Stable

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs TE peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used TEs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.66 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.65 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Liberty (SP+ -3).

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Heinrich Haarberg	Nebraska	2023	112	0.260	0.6	29.1
Connor Blumrick	Texas A&M	2021	106	0.230	0.0	24.4
Kaden Feagin	Illinois	2023	98	0.180	0.0	17.6
Gino Campiotti	Massachusetts	2022	97	0.220	0.7	21.3
Cole Gautsche	New Mexico	2013	104	0.170	1.0	17.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · EPA per play, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	EPA/play	Pass	Rush
1	vsMassachusetts	W48-21	-34.6	-0.25	0.12	-0.44
2	@Iowa	L0-30	16.7	-1.79	—	-1.79
6	vsMaryland	L7-48	-6.3	0.04	-0.04	0.18
7	@Indiana	L0-35	12.8	-0.49	-0.60	-0.19
8	vsMinnesota	L7-42	19.4	-0.41	-0.53	-0.20
9	vsLiberty	W44-34	-2.6	0.65	0.69	0.61
10	@Illinois	L10-38	0.6	-0.14	-0.54	0.06
12	vsOhio State	L21-56	35.4	0.12	-0.01	0.55
13	vsMichigan State	L0-27	7.2	-0.23	-0.38	0.06
14	@Penn State	L6-27	24.3	0.02	-0.08	0.21

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

45.9%

Passing plays

73.8%

Rushing plays

29.4%

Standard downs

39.9%

Passing downs

57.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.18
Passing downs: 0.32
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.09 / 0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 — 2021 · 31 games

Season	Team	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2019	Rutgers	0.240	—	28.1
2020	Rutgers	0.300	+0.06	17.7
2021	Rutgers	0.240	-0.06	8.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.