#21Johnny Langan

TE·Rutgers·2021 2020 20190.0 pts line value1st Round

Johnny Langan is a 3-year Versatile TE for Rutgers. Johnny's 2020 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 70 plays — a developing rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Johnny Langan's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Passing

11/13 Comp/Att103 Pass yards2 Pass TD1 INT84.6% Comp %

Rushing

199 Rush yards4 Rush TD55 Carries3.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

2 Receptions10 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs TE peers

Efficiency0
Volume31
Explosiveness0
Consistency0
Pass-Down12

Player type

Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Career trajectory:→ Stable

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs TE peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.44 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.28 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Michigan State (SP+ -2).

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Myers	Rice	2021	59	0.270	0.2	15.9
Evan Svoboda	Wyoming	2024	75	0.290	0.5	21.8
Jackson Acker	Wisconsin	2023	73	0.210	0.1	15.3
Seth Green	Minnesota	2018	83	0.390	0.0	32.4
Connor Blumrick	Texas A&M	2021	106	0.230	0.0	24.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
8	@Michigan State	W38-27	-2.4	—	—	—	—	—	1.28
9	vsIndiana	L21-37	11.2	1	6	6.0	0	6	-0.67
10	@Ohio State	L27-49	28.4	—	—	—	—	—	0.50
11	vsIllinois	L20-23	-5.4	—	—	—	—	—	0.23
12	vsMichigan	L42-48	10.7	1	4	4.0	0	4	0.60
13	@Purdue	W37-30	5.9	—	—	—	—	—	0.55
14	vsPenn State	L7-23	13.9	—	—	—	—	—	-0.24
15	@Maryland	W27-24	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	-0.46
16	vsNebraska	L21-28	7.7	—	—	—	—	—	-0.24

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

11.0%

Passing plays

5.2%

Rushing plays

17.0%

Standard downs

13.8%

Passing downs

6.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.20
Passing downs: -0.03
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.09 / 0.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 — 2021 · 31 games

Season	Team	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2019	Rutgers	0.240	—	28.1
2020	Rutgers	0.300	+0.06	17.7
2021	Rutgers	0.240	-0.06	8.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.