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Kaden Feagin

#83Kaden Feagin

RB·Illinois·2025202420230.0 pts line value1st Round

Kaden Feagin is a 3-year Committee Back for Illinois. Kaden's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 96 plays — a developing rate for the RB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kaden Feagin's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2023

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.8958
National rank
#380
High school
Arthur
Hometown
Arthur, IL

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2023 Production

Rushing
438 Rush yards2 Rush TD95 Carries4.6 Yards/carry
Receiving
9 Receptions116 Rec yards1 Rec TD12.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume50
  • Explosiveness32
  • Consistency60
  • Receiving35
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average
Career trajectory:↓ Declining
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.53 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Purdue (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.5300.53Wk 2 vs Kansas: +0.07 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Penn State: +0.20 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Florida Atlantic: +0.04 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Purdue: +0.53 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Nebraska: -0.15 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Maryland: +0.25 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Wisconsin: +0.00 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Minnesota: +0.16 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Indiana: +0.10 EPA/play11
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
2@KansasL23-349.9155.000.07
3vsPenn StateL13-3023.54153.800.20
4vsFlorida AtlanticW23-17-9.43289.300.04
5@PurdueL19-44-7.311857.700.53
6vsNebraskaL7-200.35153.003110-0.15
7@MarylandW27-2411.019844.4121300.25
8vsWisconsinL21-259.424974.0101000.00
10@MinnesotaW27-260.422894.0035910.16
11vsIndianaW48-45-7.46203.3012300.10

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
17.6%
Passing plays
3.4%
Rushing plays
34.8%
Standard downs
20.3%
Passing downs
10.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.03
Passing downs
0.44
Pass / Rush EPA
0.56 / 0.05

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.600−0.2220242025
EPA per play · 2023 — 2025 · 27 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2023Illinois
0.0
17.6
2024Illinois
0.0
7.8
2025Illinois
0.0
4.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.