#14Sean Clifford

QB·Penn State·2022 2020 20197.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Sean Clifford is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Penn State. Sean's 2022 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 416 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Sean Clifford's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing

226/351 Comp/Att2822 Pass yards24 Pass TD7 INT64.4% Comp %

Rushing

185 Rush yards5 Rush TD70 Carries2.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

Efficiency40
Volume100
Dual-Threat84
Consistency86
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg

Career trajectory:→ Stable

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.66 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Michigan State (SP+ 1).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Purdue	W35-31	7.7	20/37	282	4	1	75.4	11	1	0.20
2	vsOhio	W46-10	-4.6	19/27	213	1	0	65.7	14	1	0.24
3	@Auburn	W41-12	5.1	14/19	178	0	0	68.4	15	1	0.48
4	vsCentral Michigan	W33-14	-14.0	22/34	217	3	0	64.6	23	1	0.43
5	vsNorthwestern	W17-7	-13.4	10/20	140	1	1	37.9	13	0	0.17
7	@Michigan	L17-41	32.0	7/19	120	0	0	78.6	74	0	0.29
8	vsMinnesota	W45-17	16.0	23/31	295	4	1	92.8	—	—	0.64
9	vsOhio State	L31-44	31.1	32/47	371	3	3	63.9	-10	0	0.15
10	@Indiana	W45-14	-7.1	15/23	229	0	1	53.3	-2	0	0.28
11	vsMaryland	W30-0	11.2	12/23	139	1	0	52.3	13	0	0.18
12	@Rutgers	W55-10	-9.1	17/26	157	1	0	76.7	35	1	0.35
13	vsMichigan State	W35-16	1.2	19/24	202	4	0	83.6	0	0	0.66
1	vsUtah	W35-21	19.2	16/21	279	2	0	—	-1	0	0.46

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

45.8%

Passing plays

82.7%

Rushing plays

11.3%

Standard downs

40.3%

Passing downs

58.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.55
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.34 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 — 2022 · 34 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2019	Penn State	7.8	0.507	—	217.9
2020	Penn State	7.1	0.456	-0.05	168.2
2022	Penn State	7.5	0.484	+0.03	216.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.