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Rakeem Cato

#12Rakeem Cato

QB·Marshall·201420133.6 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Rakeem Cato is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Marshall. Rakeem's 2013 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 493 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Rakeem Cato's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Passing
298/499 Comp/Att3916 Pass yards39 Pass TD9 INT59.7% Comp %
Rushing
294 Rush yards6 Rush TD99 Carries3.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency57
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency85
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.64 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs UAB (SP+ -21).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.6400.64Wk 1 vs Miami (OH): +0.29 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Gardner-Webb: +0.12 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Ohio: +0.50 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Virginia Tech: +0.14 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs UTSA: +0.44 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Florida Atlantic: +0.32 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.25 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Southern Miss: +0.39 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs UAB: +0.64 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Tulsa: +0.18 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida International: +0.08 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs East Carolina: +0.44 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Rice: +0.28 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Maryland: +0.32 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsMiami (OH)W52-14-29.022/342535087.55900.29
2vsGardner-WebbW55-016/282301168.1610.12
3@OhioL31-34-11.430/453661187.23010.50
4@Virginia TechL21-2914.919/412282252.84610.14
6vsUTSAW34-10-6.622/322792075.7-1100.44
7@Florida AtlanticW24-23-6.618/342161164.24500.32
9@Middle TennesseeL49-51-11.819/352353187.14700.25
10vsSouthern MissW61-13-24.521/282625095.8-300.39
11vsUABW56-14-20.814/202763096.9610.64
12@TulsaW45-34-18.733/584565178.31300.18
13@Florida InternationalW48-10-38.915/312414045.21000.08
14vsEast CarolinaW59-287.517/282722187.6620.44
15@RiceL24-41-1.524/412652152.22500.28
1vsMarylandW31-2010.828/443373074.51500.32

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
52.4%
Passing plays
95.0%
Rushing plays
13.4%
Standard downs
44.9%
Passing downs
68.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.08
Passing downs
0.59
Pass / Rush EPA
0.28 / 0.41

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.94+0.002014
EPA per play · 2013 — 2014 · 27 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2013Marshall
3.6
129.4
2014Marshall
10.4
271.3

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.