Scores
Dev

Marshall Thundering Herd

Sun Belt··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1468
#75
SP+
-4.5
#86
O52/D118
FPI
-5.8
SRS
-5.8
AP
NR

2026 Season Projection

model win prob · 11 to play
6.64.4
projected final record (now 00)
Exp. wins left
6.6
of 11 games
Bowl odds
81%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
89%
vs Georgia State
Toughest
5%
vs Penn State

Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank

Offense
Total yards / game
406.1#47
Yards / play
5.9#54
Passing yards / game
207.9#91
Rushing yards / game
198.2#21
First downs / game
21.3#50
3rd down %
35.2%#106
4th down %
43.8%#113
Time of possession
30:05#64
Defense
Yards allowed / game
410.6#107
Yards / play allowed
6.0#101
Pass yards allowed / game
261.7#127
Rush yards allowed / game
148.9#67
3rd down % allowed
39.9%#74
Sacks
28#55
Tackles for loss
73#55
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+6#27
Takeaways
21#26
Giveaways
15#48
Penalties / game
6.8#98
Penalty yards / game
59.9#97

Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.

Advanced analytics

Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.

2026 Recruiting Class

Commits
12
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8358
12 3
RecruitPosStarsRtg
Brennan Chambers#1750 nat'lWR★★★★★0.8550
Jaycee Houston#1903 nat'lS★★★★★0.8511
Jae'von White#1924 nat'lOT★★★★★0.8500
Andre Parker#1924 nat'lLB★★★★★0.8500
Tristan Lester#2116 nat'lS★★★★★0.8489
Zeke Gunn#2176 nat'lLB★★★★★0.8450
Drew Williams#2605 nat'lATH★★★★★0.8344
Mason Ramsey#2620 nat'lIOL★★★★★0.8300
William Sandfoss#2620 nat'lOT★★★★★0.8300
Brysen Davies#2815 nat'lLB★★★★★0.8250
Aidan Burke#2979 nat'lATH★★★★★0.8100
Riley Winkler#3055 nat'lLS★★★★★0.8000

Program History

recent seasons
YearOverallConfWin %xWLuck
20255-73-5
42%
7.9-2.9
202410-38-1
77%
8.4+1.6
20236-73-5
46%
6.2-0.2
20229-45-3
69%
10.4-1.4
20217-65-3
54%
7.4-0.4
20207-34-2
70%
7.0+0.0
20198-56-2
62%
6.3+1.7
20189-46-2
69%
8.5+0.5
20178-54-4
62%
8.1-0.1
20163-92-6
25%
3.1-0.1

xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).

✓/✗ = whether our pregame model picked the winner. Win % & projections from the Gridpex model. Data: CollegeFootballData.