#10Nicholas Singleton

RB·Penn State·2024 20223.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Nicholas Singleton is a 2-year Pass-Catching Back for Penn State. Nicholas's 2024 season ranks in the 73th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 213 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Nicholas Singleton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1099 Rush yards12 Rush TD172 Carries6.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

41 Receptions375 Rec yards5 Rec TD9.1 Yards/rec

Returns

14 Kick returns331 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency73
Volume63
Explosiveness68
Consistency87
Receiving93

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)73th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.52 EPA/play in Wk 15 vs Oregon (SP+ 26).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@West Virginia	W34-12	2.1	13	114	8.8	1	1	13	0	0.44
2	vsBowling Green	W34-27	-1.8	13	119	9.2	1	1	14	1	0.42
4	vsKent State	W56-0	-33.0	11	81	7.4	0	2	22	1	0.43
5	vsIllinois	W21-7	9.6	16	94	5.9	1	2	25	0	0.51
7	@USC	W33-30	11.9	10	26	2.6	0	4	39	1	0.00
9	@Wisconsin	W28-13	3.0	12	49	4.1	0	3	37	1	0.29
10	vsOhio State	L13-20	31.2	6	15	2.5	0	6	54	0	0.43
11	vsWashington	W35-6	3.1	7	45	6.4	0	3	14	0	0.24
12	@Purdue	W49-10	-16.2	7	40	5.7	1	2	20	0	0.52
13	@Minnesota	W26-25	10.4	13	63	4.8	1	6	37	0	0.12
14	vsMaryland	W44-7	-3.9	13	87	6.7	2	3	17	0	0.44
15	vsOregon	L37-45	26.0	10	105	10.5	0	4	43	1	0.52
20	vsNotre Dame	L24-27	23.9	15	84	5.6	3	2	33	0	—
20	vsBoise State	W31-14	10.1	12	87	7.3	1	—	—	—	—
20	vsSMU	W38-10	17.5	14	90	6.4	1	2	7	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

22.2%

Passing plays

11.4%

Rushing plays

30.4%

Standard downs

26.0%

Passing downs

12.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.32
Passing downs: 0.39
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.51 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 — 2024 · 28 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2022	Penn State	3.3	0.360	—	61.6
2024	Penn State	3.0	0.390	+0.03	72.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.