#6Jhurell Pressley

RB·New Mexico·20144.9 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jhurell Pressley is a Explosive Back for New Mexico. Jhurell's 2014 season ranks in the 95th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 113 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jhurell Pressley's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2014 Production

Rushing

1083 Rush yards12 Rush TD114 Carries9.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

7 Receptions46 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs RB peers

Efficiency95
Volume48
Explosiveness100
Consistency61
Receiving69

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)95th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency61th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 1.73 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Boise State (SP+ 12).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Devon Johnson	Marshall	2014	208	0.520	6.0	108.2
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2018	214	0.620	6.8	132.7
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsUTEP	L24-31	-12.0	9	84	9.3	0	—	—	—	0.24
2	vsArizona State	L23-58	13.5	12	53	4.4	1	—	—	—	0.10
4	@New Mexico State	W38-35	-23.3	6	78	13.0	1	—	—	—	1.28
5	vsFresno State	L24-35	-6.9	14	70	5.0	1	1	32	0	0.39
6	@UTSA	W21-9	-3.4	5	102	20.4	1	1	-2	0	0.61
7	vsSan Diego State	L14-24	1.0	11	45	4.1	0	3	21	0	0.16
8	@Air Force	L31-35	-1.4	11	148	13.5	2	0	-18	0	0.67
10	@UNLV	W31-28	-17.6	20	138	6.9	3	—	—	—	0.38
11	vsBoise State	L49-60	11.6	7	154	22.0	2	—	—	—	1.73
12	@Utah State	L21-28	6.0	1	1	1.0	0	—	—	—	-0.79
13	@Colorado State	L20-58	4.5	7	109	15.6	0	—	—	—	0.58
14	vsWyoming	W36-30	-14.0	11	101	9.2	1	2	13	0	0.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

16.7%

Passing plays

6.3%

Rushing plays

19.7%

Standard downs

19.0%

Passing downs

11.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.48
Passing downs: 0.44
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.07 / 0.51

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.