Memphis vs. Temple: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
MEMTeam statsTEM
- Q4 3:22TEMSaledeem Major 19 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)12–31
- Q4 5:25TEMAustin Jones 35 Yd Field Goal 12–24
- Q4 14:54TEMKip Patton 13 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)12–21
- Q3 3:41MEMJake Elliott 39 Yd Field Goal 12–14
- Q2 1:28MEMJake Elliott 44 Yd Field Goal 9–14
- Q2 4:36TEMDavid Hood 14 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)6–14
- Q2 8:14TEMRomond Deloatch 13 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)6–7
- Q2 12:24MEMJake Elliott 46 Yd Field Goal 6–0
- Q1 3:34MEMJake Elliott 31 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
- PassPaxton Lynch 25/34, 156 YDS
- RushSam Craft 4 CAR, 40 YDS
- RecPhil Mayhue 5 REC, 51 YDS
- PassPJ Walker 14/26, 261 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushDavid Hood 14 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
- RecRobbie Chosen 5 REC, 80 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTEM up 2 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,937 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 14:54TEM +26%
Kip Patton run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
- Q2 8:14TEM +21%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
- Q2 4:36TEM +21%
David Hood run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
- Q3 3:41MEM +12%
Jake Elliott 39 yd FG GOOD
- Q3 3:41TEM +10%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Saledeem Major
- Q2 12:24MEM +9%
Jake Elliott 46 yd FG GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Memphis vs. Temple?
Memphis 12, Temple 31.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TEM) was correct.
| MEM | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 232 | Total yards | 461 |
| 156 | Passing yards | 261 |
| 76 | Rushing yards | 200 |
| 13 | First downs | 25 |
| 7-19 | 3rd down | 10-16 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-3 |
| 25/34 | Comp/Att | 14/26 |
| 4.6 | Yards per pass | 10.0 |
| 2.2 | Yards per rush | 4.3 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 8-79 | Penalties | 1-10 |
| 25:28 | Possession | 34:32 |
Costliest call
Q3 13:53 TEM punt on 4th & 1 at TEM 37. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.93 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 3:22TEMSaledeem Major 19 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)12–31
- Q4 5:25TEMAustin Jones 35 Yd Field Goal 12–24
- Q4 14:54TEMKip Patton 13 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)12–21
- Q3 3:41MEMJake Elliott 39 Yd Field Goal 12–14
- Q2 1:28MEMJake Elliott 44 Yd Field Goal 9–14
- Q2 4:36TEMDavid Hood 14 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)6–14
- Q2 8:14TEMRomond Deloatch 13 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)6–7
- Q2 12:24MEMJake Elliott 46 Yd Field Goal 6–0
- Q1 3:34MEMJake Elliott 31 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEM Elo 1599, MEM Elo 1642 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TEM -0.7 (53% to win) — 3.7 points clear of TEM's market line of +3. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2015
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#52 of 92 in 2015 by biggest miss · #90 of 108 in 2015 by longest odds.
The 2015 upset archive →Memphis leads 5–4 · Memphis has won 2 straight · 44% have been one-possession games
| MEM | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| +6.0 (#48) | CORE overall | +8.6 (#38) |
| +6 / -0 | offense / defense | -2 / -10 |
| 2.78 | points / drive | 2.23 |
| 2.17 | allowed / drive | 1.42 |
| 24% | three-and-outs | 26% |
| +3 | pass over expected | +1 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →