Oregon vs. Texas Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
ORETeam statsTTU
- Q4 0:16OREJordon Davison 1 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick)23–0
- Q4 7:53OREAtticus Sappington 43 Yd Field Goal 16–0
- Q3 11:20OREJordon Davison 6 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick)13–0
- Q2 1:33OREAtticus Sappington 39 Yd Field Goal 6–0
- Q1 10:41OREAtticus Sappington 50 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = ORE ahead, below = TTU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassDante Moore 26/33, 234 YDS, 1 INT
- RushJordon Davison 15 CAR, 42 YDS, 2 TD
- RecJamari Johnson 4 REC, 66 YDS
- PassBehren Morton 18/32, 137 YDS, 2 INT
- RushJ'Koby Williams 13 CAR, 81 YDS
- RecTerrance Carter Jr. 9 REC, 72 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Oregon vs. Texas Tech?
Oregon 23, Texas Tech 0.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked TTU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| ORE | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 309 | Total yards | 215 |
| 245 | Passing yards | 137 |
| 64 | Rushing yards | 78 |
| 16 | First downs | 10 |
| 4-19 | 3rd down | 6-16 |
| 4-8 | 4th down | 0-3 |
| 27/34 | Comp/Att | 18/32 |
| 7.2 | Yards per pass | 4.3 |
| 1.4 | Yards per rush | 2.6 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 3-25 | Penalties | 6-36 |
| 38:00 | Possession | 22:00 |
- Q4 0:16OREJordon Davison 1 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick)23–0
- Q4 7:53OREAtticus Sappington 43 Yd Field Goal 16–0
- Q3 11:20OREJordon Davison 6 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick)13–0
- Q2 1:33OREAtticus Sappington 39 Yd Field Goal 6–0
- Q1 10:41OREAtticus Sappington 50 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TTU Elo 2108, ORE Elo 2109 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects TTU PK (51% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#40 of 112 in 2025 by biggest miss · #109 of 129 in 2025 by longest odds.
The 2025 upset archive →| ORE | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| +34.6 (#4) | CORE overall | +33.7 (#5) |
| +19 / -16 | offense / defense | +4 / -30 |
| 3.09 | points / drive | 2.82 |
| 1.44 | allowed / drive | 0.95 |
| 15% | three-and-outs | 23% |
| +2 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →