#2Behren Morton

QB·Texas Tech·2025

Behren Morton is a Clutch Passer for Texas Tech. Behren's 2025 season ranks in the 13th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 353 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Behren Morton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

219/333 Comp/Att2780 Pass yards22 Pass TD6 INT65.8% Comp %

Rushing

-113 Rush yards0 Rush TD43 Carries-2.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency13
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency75
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)13th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.20 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.98 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsArkansas-Pine Bluff	W67-7	—	16/20	201	4	0	92.3	—	—	0.98
2	vsKent State	W62-14	-19.3	18/26	258	3	0	82.1	4	0	0.54
3	vsOregon State	W45-14	-15.9	23/35	464	4	1	73.5	-9	0	0.93
4	@Utah	W34-10	22.2	12/19	142	0	2	29.6	2	0	-0.07
6	@Houston	W35-11	7.4	28/40	345	1	0	76.6	1	0	0.29
7	vsKansas	W42-17	4.1	7/12	91	1	0	74.6	0	0	0.32
10	@Kansas State	W43-20	7.0	21/32	249	2	1	68.8	-14	0	0.29
11	vsBYU	W29-7	15.9	17/32	219	1	0	57.0	-47	0	0.04
12	vsUCF	W48-9	-1.2	14/20	149	1	0	77.4	—	—	0.50
14	@West Virginia	W49-0	-6.8	25/32	310	3	0	89.0	-16	0	0.65
15	vsBYU	W34-7	15.9	20/33	215	2	0	73.4	-2	0	0.01
20	vsOregon	L0-23	25.9	18/32	137	0	2	18.0	-32	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

40.4%

Passing plays

80.1%

Rushing plays

5.0%

Standard downs

34.4%

Passing downs

52.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.37 / -0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).