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Zamir White

#3Zamir White

RB·Georgia·202120203.6 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Zamir White is a 2-year Explosive Back for Georgia. Zamir's 2020 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 152 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Zamir White's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2020 Production

Rushing
779 Rush yards11 Rush TD144 Carries5.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
6 Receptions37 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.2 Yards/rec
Returns
3 Kick returns78 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency75
  • Volume64
  • Explosiveness48
  • Consistency65
  • Receiving20
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg
Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Above-average efficiency for the RB position (75th percentile).
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.27 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.76 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs South Carolina (SP+ -2).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.4505.8102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7600.76Wk 4 vs Arkansas: +0.04 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Auburn: +0.42 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Tennessee: -0.22 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Alabama: +0.44 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Kentucky: +0.12 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Florida: +0.72 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Mississippi State: -0.30 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs South Carolina: +0.76 EPA/play13Wk 15 vs Missouri: +0.53 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Cincinnati: +0.47 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
4@ArkansasW37-101.613715.512900.04
5vsAuburnW27-612.619884.6211000.42
6vsTennesseeW44-210.922502.31-0.22
7@AlabamaL24-4128.310575.710.44
9@KentuckyW14-32.2261365.210.12
10vsFloridaL28-4419.8710715.311700.72
12vsMississippi StateW31-24-1.411211.90160-0.30
13@South CarolinaW45-16-2.413846.520.76
15@MissouriW49-14-1.01212610.510.53
1vsCincinnatiW24-2118.611393.511500.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
22.5%
Passing plays
2.5%
Rushing plays
40.1%
Standard downs
27.8%
Passing downs
9.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.23
Passing downs
0.28
Pass / Rush EPA
0.36 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.130−0.432021
EPA per play · 2020 — 2021 · 25 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2020Georgia
3.6
60.8
2021Georgia
2.4
60.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.