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Zamir White

#3Zamir White

RB·Georgia·202120202.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Zamir White is a 2-year Explosive Back for Georgia. Zamir's 2021 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 157 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Zamir White's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2021 Production

Rushing
856 Rush yards11 Rush TD160 Carries5.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
9 Receptions75 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.3 Yards/rec
Returns
2 Kick returns37 KR yards0 KR TD1 Punt returns0 PR yards1 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency53
  • Volume51
  • Explosiveness46
  • Consistency70
  • Receiving28
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average
Key findings
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Charleston Southern.

NIL Market Tier· 2021

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.0001.00Wk 1 vs Clemson: +0.17 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UAB: +0.09 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs South Carolina: +0.36 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Vanderbilt: +0.39 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Arkansas: +0.28 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Auburn: +0.26 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Kentucky: +0.09 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Florida: +0.30 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Missouri: -0.22 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Tennessee: -0.02 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Charleston Southern: +1.00 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Georgia Tech: +0.31 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Alabama: +0.05 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Michigan: +0.49 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Alabama: +0.49 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsClemsonW10-318.713745.7011300.17
2vsUABW56-79.17344.900.09
3vsSouth CarolinaW40-133.98516.410.36
4@VanderbiltW62-0-19.49485.310.39
5vsArkansasW37-013.816684.320.28
6@AuburnW34-1011.018794.420.26
7vsKentuckyW30-1313.412463.8111500.09
9vsFloridaW34-711.0141057.510.30
10vsMissouriW43-63.19141.61-0.22
11@TennesseeW41-1717.512554.60130-0.02
12vsCharleston SouthernW56-748320.811201.00
13@Georgia TechW45-0-6.76345.7011500.31
14vsAlabamaL24-4126.07273.9021700.05
1vsMichiganW34-1123.412544.5021000.49
1vsAlabamaW33-1826.013846.510.49

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
18.0%
Passing plays
2.8%
Rushing plays
30.1%
Standard downs
22.7%
Passing downs
5.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.21
Passing downs
-0.10
Pass / Rush EPA
0.12 / 0.20

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.130−0.432021
EPA per play · 2020 — 2021 · 25 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2020Georgia
3.6
60.8
2021Georgia
2.4
60.1

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.