Will Rogers is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Mississippi State. Will's 2021 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 678 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2021 | 690 | 0.476 | 10.1 | 328.3 |
| Sam Hartman | Wake Forest | 2021 | 647 | 0.556 | 11.8 | 359.6 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2024 | 632 | 0.509 | 12.1 | 321.4 |
| Casey Thompson | Nebraska | 2021 | 666 | 0.528 | 12.6 | 351.4 |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2017 | 626 | 0.513 | 12.7 | 321.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLouisiana Tech | W35-34 | -11.6 | 39/47 | 370 | 3 | 1 | 40.8 | -18 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 2 | vsNC State | W24-10 | 16.1 | 33/49 | 294 | 2 | 0 | 77.7 | -5 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 3 | @Memphis | L29-31 | 1.0 | 50/67 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mississippi State | 8.5 | 0.460 | — | 318.8 |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | 7.2 | 0.420 | -0.04 | 260.0 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 32/53 · Pass Yds 290 · Pass TD 1 · INT 1
| 419 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 64.7 |
| -6 |
| 0 |
| 0.25 |
| 4 | vsLSU | L25-28 | 4.1 | 47/62 | 371 | 3 | 1 | 75.2 | 18 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 5 | @Texas A&M | W26-22 | 21.1 | 46/59 | 408 | 3 | 0 | 93.1 | 5 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 7 | vsAlabama | L9-49 | 26.0 | 35/55 | 300 | 0 | 3 | 44.4 | -41 | 0 | -0.16 |
| 8 | @Vanderbilt | W45-6 | -19.4 | 41/57 | 384 | 4 | 2 | 69.4 | -13 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 9 | vsKentucky | W31-17 | 13.4 | 36/39 | 344 | 1 | 0 | 87.8 | -5 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 10 | @Arkansas | L28-31 | 13.8 | 36/48 | 417 | 4 | 1 | 87.3 | -2 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 11 | @Auburn | W43-34 | 11.0 | 44/55 | 415 | 6 | 0 | 90.7 | -7 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 12 | vsTennessee State | W55-10 | — | 28/34 | 391 | 5 | 0 | 94.2 | — | — | 0.79 |
| 13 | vsOle Miss | L21-31 | 14.8 | 38/58 | 336 | 1 | 0 | 54.3 | 4 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 1 | vsTexas Tech | L7-34 | 9.8 | 32/53 | 290 | 1 | 1 | 34.6 | -27 | 0 | 0.01 |