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Quinton Cooley

#20Quinton Cooley

RB·Liberty·202420233.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Quinton Cooley is a 2-year Explosive Back for Liberty. Quinton's 2023 season ranks in the 65th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 209 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Quinton Cooley's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
1401 Rush yards16 Rush TD221 Carries6.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
6 Receptions43 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency65
  • Volume66
  • Explosiveness66
  • Consistency74
  • Receiving16
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)65th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average
Key findings
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.24 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.83 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -18).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8300.83Wk 1 vs Bowling Green: -0.23 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs New Mexico State: +0.11 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Buffalo: +0.51 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Florida International: +0.45 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Sam Houston: +0.18 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Jacksonville State: +0.28 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.33 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Western Kentucky: +0.08 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.41 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Old Dominion: +0.06 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Massachusetts: +0.83 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs UTEP: +0.77 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs New Mexico State: +0.71 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsBowling GreenW34-24-7.816784.90-0.23
2vsNew Mexico StateW33-17-1.8201065.300.11
3@BuffaloW55-27-15.25377.401400.51
4@Florida InternationalW38-6-21.2121028.5011100.45
6vsSam HoustonW21-16-13.8171066.210.18
7@Jacksonville StateW31-13-1.6281635.820.28
8vsMiddle TennesseeW42-35-9.5241345.630.33
9@Western KentuckyW42-29-2.017764.510.08
10vsLouisiana TechW56-30-12.9231797.8221800.41
11vsOld DominionW38-10-10.119854.500.06
12vsMassachusettsW49-25-17.5810212.810.83
13@UTEPW42-28-16.213836.430.77
14vsNew Mexico StateW49-35-1.811716.5311200.71
20vsOregonL6-4526.28799.901-20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
23.1%
Passing plays
2.0%
Rushing plays
33.2%
Standard downs
26.5%
Passing downs
12.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.24
Passing downs
0.66
Pass / Rush EPA
0.43 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.930−0.352024
EPA per play · 2023 — 2024 · 25 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2023Liberty
3.7
77.6
2024Liberty
1.7
47.8

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.