Liberty Flames
Conference USA··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1441
#81
SP+
-9.0
#102
O86/D103
FPI
-10.7
SRS
-10.0
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play7.2 – 3.8
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
7.2
of 11 games
Bowl odds
89%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
93%
vs Sam Houston
Toughest
6%
vs James Madison
💬Liberty Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
388.5#70
Yards / play
5.7#66
Passing yards / game
195.5#101
Rushing yards / game
193.0#26
First downs / game
20.3#72
3rd down %
40.1%#65
4th down %
52.0%#87
Time of possession
30:40#45
Defense
Yards allowed / game
376.8#69
Yards / play allowed
5.7#79
Pass yards allowed / game
196.8#36
Rush yards allowed / game
180.1#110
3rd down % allowed
43.9%#118
Sacks
16#118
Tackles for loss
49#124
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-7#112
Takeaways
14#89
Giveaways
21#110
Penalties / game
6.2#78
Penalty yards / game
55.6#75
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
James MadisonSat+21.06%Wk 2vsGardner-WebbSatWk 3vs
Ball StateSat-19.693%Wk 4@
Coastal CarolinaThu-8.774%Wk 5@
DelawareFri-1.053%Wk 6vs
Sam HoustonThu-20.393%Wk 8@
Kennesaw StateThu-2.858%Wk 9vs
Florida InternationalSat-7.170%Wk 10@
New Mexico StateSat-8.473%Wk 11vs
Middle TennesseeSat-13.584%Wk 12vs
Western KentuckySat-3.761%Wk 13@
Missouri StateSat-2.156%
James MadisonSat+21.06%Wk 2vsGardner-WebbSatWk 3vsBall StateSat-19.693%Wk 4@Coastal CarolinaThu-8.774%Wk 5@DelawareFri-1.053%Wk 6vsSam HoustonThu-20.393%Wk 8@Kennesaw StateThu-2.858%Wk 9vsFlorida InternationalSat-7.170%Wk 10@New Mexico StateSat-8.473%Wk 11vsMiddle TennesseeSat-13.584%Wk 12vsWestern KentuckySat-3.761%Wk 13@Missouri StateSat-2.156%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
17
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8458
17 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobe Dejesus#1158 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Douglasville, GA |
| Malcolm Gaston#1227 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | North Augusta, SC |
| Kimauri Farmer#1320 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Carrollton, GA |
| Tony Arnett#1615 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Phenix City, AL |
| Macaiden Brown#1687 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8567 | Sarasota, FL |
| JaKambry Brown#1871 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Warner Robins, GA |
| Jachin Davis#1871 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Goose Creek, SC |
| Daniel Schiffert#2176 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Bethlehem, PA |
| Hunter Winn#2176 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Norfolk, VA |
| Jaleel Parker#2176 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Fayetteville, NC |
| Austin Tremblay#2291 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8433 | Lynchburg, VA |
| Kennedi Bailey#2302 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8422 | Thomson, GA |
| Carlton Hall#2313 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Savannah, GA |
| Kam Taylor#2524 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Woodruff, SC |
| Xavier Reid#2620 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Boca Raton, FL |
| Chris Law#2815 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8250 | Danville, VA |
| Carson Jones#2979 nat'l | K | ★★★★★ | 0.8100 | Charlotte, NC |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 33% | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 2024 | 8-4 | 5-3 | 67% | 7.8 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 13-1 | 9-0 | 93% | 12.8 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 2-1 | 62% | 7.3 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 62% | 7.9 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 91% | 8.1 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 62% | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 50% | 5.0 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 6-5 | 2-3 | 55% | 0.8 | +5.2 |
| 2016 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 55% | 0.0 | +6.0 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).