#37Qadree Ollison

RB·Pittsburgh·2018 20153.0 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Qadree Ollison is a 2-year Explosive Back for Pittsburgh. Qadree's 2018 season ranks in the 48th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 203 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Qadree Ollison's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2018 Production

Rushing

1213 Rush yards11 Rush TD194 Carries6.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

11 Receptions66 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2018 · vs RB peers

Efficiency48
Volume67
Explosiveness66
Consistency58
Receiving38

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)48th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency58th %ile · average

Key findings

▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.11 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.97 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Virginia Tech (SP+ 4).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsUAlbany	W33-7	—	7	73	10.4	0	—	—	—	0.78
2	vsPenn State	L6-51	19.0	21	119	5.7	1	2	3	0	0.01
3	vsGeorgia Tech	W24-19	0.3	17	91	5.4	2	—	—	—	0.13
4	@North Carolina	L35-38	-2.5	12	72	6.0	1	1	8	0	0.38
5	@UCF	L14-45	16.5	11	49	4.5	0	1	-3	0	-0.07
6	vsSyracuse	W44-37	7.5	24	192	8.0	1	2	15	0	0.43
7	@Notre Dame	L14-19	20.7	16	50	3.1	1	2	5	0	-0.22
9	vsDuke	W54-45	5.0	18	149	8.3	1	2	22	0	0.47
10	@Virginia	W23-13	7.1	7	24	3.4	0	—	—	—	0.27
11	vsVirginia Tech	W52-22	3.9	16	235	14.7	3	—	—	—	0.97
12	@Wake Forest	W34-13	3.6	18	52	2.9	0	—	—	—	-0.17
13	@Miami	L3-24	12.7	9	28	3.1	0	1	16	0	-0.11
14	vsClemson	L10-42	29.7	13	56	4.3	1	—	—	—	0.04
1	vsStanford	L13-14	13.0	5	23	4.6	0	—	—	—	0.76

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

23.4%

Passing plays

4.9%

Rushing plays

35.7%

Standard downs

28.1%

Passing downs

14.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.18
Passing downs: 0.28
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.03 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2018 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	Pittsburgh	1.9	0.240	—	48.7
2018	Pittsburgh	3.0	0.350	+0.11	68.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.