#37Qadree Ollison

RB·Pittsburgh·2018 20151.9 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Qadree Ollison is a 2-year Featured Back for Pittsburgh. Qadree's 2015 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 232 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Qadree Ollison's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Rushing

1121 Rush yards11 Rush TD212 Carries5.3 Yards/carry

Receiving

14 Receptions77 Rec yards1 Rec TD5.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs RB peers

Efficiency10
Volume77
Explosiveness46
Consistency45
Receiving41

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)10th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency45th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.13 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.61 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Youngstown State.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsYoungstown State	W45-37	—	16	207	12.9	1	1	3	0	0.61
2	@Akron	W24-7	-0.8	21	81	3.9	1	—	—	—	-0.05
3	@Iowa	L24-27	9.3	4	17	4.3	0	2	7	0	-0.05
5	@Virginia Tech	W17-13	11.4	19	122	6.4	1	—	—	—	0.02
6	vsVirginia	W26-19	1.4	13	49	3.8	1	—	—	—	-0.34
7	@Georgia Tech	W31-28	9.0	22	83	3.8	1	2	15	0	0.16
8	@Syracuse	W23-20	-3.9	23	103	4.5	2	—	—	—	0.36
9	vsNorth Carolina	L19-26	20.0	10	54	5.4	1	1	-4	0	0.40
10	vsNotre Dame	L30-42	22.4	12	32	2.7	0	1	4	0	0.03
11	@Duke	W31-13	3.4	26	111	4.3	1	2	19	0	0.06
12	vsLouisville	W45-34	13.2	28	152	5.4	1	1	1	0	0.03
13	vsMiami	L24-29	11.0	10	37	3.7	0	2	18	0	0.04
1	vsNavy	L28-44	12.1	8	73	9.1	1	2	14	1	0.59

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

26.9%

Passing plays

6.0%

Rushing plays

43.5%

Standard downs

31.8%

Passing downs

14.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.19
Passing downs: -0.17
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.02 / 0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2018 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	Pittsburgh	1.9	0.240	—	48.7
2018	Pittsburgh	3.0	0.350	+0.11	68.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.