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Major Everhart

#3Major Everhart

WR·TCU·2025

Major Everhart is a Versatile WR for TCU.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Major Everhart's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
14 Receptions149 Rec yards0 Rec TD10.6 Yards/rec
Returns
9 Kick returns197 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency33
  • Volume13
  • Explosiveness24
  • Consistency0
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)33th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.21 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Arizona State (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Amare JonesTulane0.1800.012.8
Brandon ChatmanNavy0.2300.612.0
Amare JonesTulane0.2300.813.3
Eli HeidenreichNavy0.2200.815.4
Justin LynchTemple0.2400.315.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.7201.72Wk 4 vs SMU: -1.72 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Arizona State: +1.21 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Colorado: +0.91 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Baylor: +0.23 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs West Virginia: -0.35 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Iowa State: +0.20 EPA/play11
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
4vsSMUW35-2413.4-1.72
5@Arizona StateL24-273.9199.0091.21
6vsColoradoW35-21-8.311919.00190.91
7@Kansas StateL28-417.0
8vsBaylorW42-361.43258.30120.23
9@West VirginiaW23-17-6.844511.3026-0.35
11vsIowa StateL17-209.911313.00110.20
20vsUSCW30-2716.94389.5020

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.4%
Passing plays
6.6%
Rushing plays
2.0%
Standard downs
4.9%
Passing downs
3.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.33
Passing downs
-0.58
Pass / Rush EPA
0.13 / -0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.