Brandon Chatman is a 3-year Versatile WR for Navy. Brandon's 2025 season ranks in the 83th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 80 plays — a above-average rate for the WR. Brandon's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025
How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.
- Usage share (volume)0.47Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
- EPA per play (efficiency)0.09Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
- Total EPA (value)0.45Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons
Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brandon Chatman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
- Efficiency83
- Volume28
- Explosiveness16
- Consistency18
- Pass-Down61
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (83th percentile).
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸Career trajectory is upward — WEPA value has improved season over season.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.33 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.14 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Tulsa (SP+ -10).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.23
- Passing downs
- 0.29
- Pass / Rush EPA
- -0.06 / 0.37
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.