#20Josh Quezada

RB·Fresno State·20131.0 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Josh Quezada is a Pass-Catching Back for Fresno State. Josh's 2013 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 174 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Josh Quezada's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Rushing

807 Rush yards6 Rush TD155 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

51 Receptions290 Rec yards1 Rec TD5.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs RB peers

Efficiency15
Volume55
Explosiveness44
Consistency42
Receiving69

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)15th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency42th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Peak game: 0.46 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Nevada (SP+ -17).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsRutgers	W52-51	-8.1	7	29	4.1	1	4	21	0	-0.05
2	vsCal Poly	W41-25	—	18	65	3.6	0	6	42	0	0.12
4	vsBoise State	W41-40	11.3	16	41	2.6	1	7	42	1	-0.04
5	@Hawai'i	W42-37	-14.3	13	78	6.0	0	3	9	0	0.24
6	@Idaho	W61-14	-35.6	11	63	5.7	0	5	18	0	0.24
8	vsUNLV	W38-14	-10.1	12	75	6.3	1	5	26	0	0.23
9	@San Diego State	W35-28	-4.8	4	22	5.5	0	2	12	0	-0.26
10	vsNevada	W41-23	-16.8	17	115	6.8	0	5	40	0	0.46
11	@Wyoming	W48-10	-15.3	16	105	6.6	1	4	28	0	0.34
13	vsNew Mexico	W69-28	-14.9	11	90	8.2	1	—	—	—	0.38
14	@San José State	L52-62	-5.1	7	50	7.1	1	5	39	0	0.40
15	vsUtah State	W24-17	4.2	21	54	2.6	0	2	6	0	-0.25
1	vsUSC	L20-45	22.5	2	20	10.0	0	3	7	0	-0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

19.1%

Passing plays

7.3%

Rushing plays

39.0%

Standard downs

21.8%

Passing downs

11.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.21
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.26 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.