Fresno State Bulldogs
Pac-12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1548
#60
SP+
1.8
#66
O100/D37
FPI
-4.3
SRS
-2.7
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play6.1 – 3.9
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
6.1
of 10 games
Bowl odds
67%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
95%
vs Rice
Toughest
13%
vs USC
💬Fresno State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
354.1#94
Yards / play
5.4#96
Passing yards / game
183.4#112
Rushing yards / game
170.7#54
First downs / game
18.9#98
3rd down %
36.4%#100
4th down %
42.9%#116
Time of possession
32:19#16
Defense
Yards allowed / game
287.4#10
Yards / play allowed
4.7#15
Pass yards allowed / game
153.7#2
Rush yards allowed / game
133.7#43
3rd down % allowed
36.0%#43
Sacks
24#76
Tackles for loss
67#71
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+5#35
Takeaways
25#9
Giveaways
20#104
Penalties / game
6.6#90
Penalty yards / game
60.6#100
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
19
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8433
19 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Rivera#1500 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Lovington, NM |
| Jaydon Sutko#1500 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Omaha, NE |
| Solomon Baker#1500 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Omaha, NE |
| Isaiah Lucero#1722 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8556 | Covina, CA |
| Jacob Chambers#1750 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8550 | Rancho Cucamonga, CA |
| Jhadis Luckey#1924 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | San Ramon, CA |
| Zephaniah Sesay#1924 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Visalia, CA |
| Truly Bell#2145 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8467 | Pittsburg, CA |
| Bryce McDaniel#2176 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Hughson, CA |
| Franklin Lockard#2176 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Tulare, CA |
| Dallas Gaius-Anyaegbu#2176 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Omaha, NE |
| Cooper Willoughby#2176 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Bountiful, UT |
| Robert Lucero#2313 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Covina, CA |
| Maxwell Young#2519 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8356 | Anaheim, CA |
| Efren Siuloa#2524 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Salt Lake City, UT |
| Zane Gerbo#2620 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Modesto, CA |
| Chase Perino#2620 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Modesto, CA |
| Brendan Huddleston#2815 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8250 | St. Louis, MO |
| Bo Ausmus#2979 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8100 | Redondo Beach, CA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 8.0 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 4-3 | 46% | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 4-4 | 69% | 6.2 | +2.8 |
| 2022 | 10-4 | 8-1 | 71% | 8.4 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 8.3 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 50% | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 6.4 | -2.4 |
| 2018 | 12-2 | 8-1 | 86% | 11.9 | +0.1 |
| 2017 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 71% | 9.9 | +0.1 |
| 2016 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 8% | 1.6 | -0.6 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).