#23Jeremiah Cobb

RB·Auburn·20252.2 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jeremiah Cobb is a Committee Back for Auburn. Jeremiah's 2025 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 187 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jeremiah Cobb's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

969 Rush yards5 Rush TD175 Carries5.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

11 Receptions83 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency57
Volume66
Explosiveness50
Consistency48
Receiving38

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency48th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.29 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.65 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Ball State (SP+ -23).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Baylor	W38-24	1.4	16	74	4.6	1	1	0	0	0.20
2	vsBall State	W42-3	-23.0	11	121	11.0	2	—	—	—	0.65
3	vsSouth Alabama	W31-15	-12.7	19	119	6.3	1	—	—	—	0.31
4	@Oklahoma	L17-24	18.3	6	61	10.2	0	—	—	—	0.42
5	@Texas A&M	L10-16	20.7	6	28	4.7	0	1	11	0	0.16
7	vsGeorgia	L10-20	24.1	12	50	4.2	0	—	—	—	-0.01
8	vsMissouri	L17-23	14.4	19	111	5.8	0	—	—	—	0.10
9	@Arkansas	W33-24	5.1	28	153	5.5	0	2	19	0	0.28
10	vsKentucky	L3-10	1.8	20	72	3.6	0	—	—	—	-0.20
11	@Vanderbilt	L38-45	20.3	16	115	7.2	0	4	34	0	0.23
13	vsMercer	W62-17	—	12	32	2.7	0	1	10	0	-0.19
14	vsAlabama	L20-27	14.8	10	33	3.3	1	2	9	0	-0.19

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

23.2%

Passing plays

4.8%

Rushing plays

41.4%

Standard downs

28.2%

Passing downs

12.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: -0.00
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.04 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.