#23Jaydon Blue

RB·Texas·2024

Jaydon Blue is a Pass-Catching Back for Texas. Jaydon's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 170 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaydon Blue's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

730 Rush yards8 Rush TD134 Carries5.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

42 Receptions368 Rec yards6 Rec TD8.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume49
Explosiveness48
Consistency3
Receiving98

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency3th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.90 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Florida (SP+ 14).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsColorado State	W52-0	-5.7	11	57	5.2	0	3	37	0	0.27
2	@Michigan	W31-12	10.6	9	22	2.4	0	6	37	1	-0.04
4	vsUL Monroe	W51-3	-16.7	25	124	5.0	3	1	3	1	0.38
5	vsMississippi State	W35-13	-4.1	6	36	6.0	1	1	10	0	-0.41
7	vsOklahoma	W34-3	9.5	10	30	3.0	0	3	18	0	-0.07
8	vsGeorgia	L15-30	24.3	—	—	—	—	7	48	1	-0.04
9	@Vanderbilt	W27-24	4.9	10	47	4.7	0	3	24	0	0.16
11	vsFlorida	W49-17	13.8	5	60	12.0	1	3	67	0	0.90
12	@Arkansas	W20-10	11.0	14	83	5.9	0	3	19	0	0.26
13	vsKentucky	W31-14	5.5	15	96	6.4	1	1	5	0	0.33
14	@Texas A&M	W17-7	17.0	5	7	1.4	0	1	7	1	0.08
15	vsGeorgia	L19-22	24.3	2	2	1.0	0	2	-8	0	-0.50
20	vsArizona State	W39-31	9.4	4	4	1.0	0	1	11	0	—
20	vsClemson	W38-24	13.3	14	146	10.4	2	2	31	0	—
20	vsOhio State	L14-28	31.2	4	16	4.0	0	5	59	2	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.1%

Passing plays

9.2%

Rushing plays

25.5%

Standard downs

18.4%

Passing downs

14.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.58 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).