#32Jamauri Bogan

RB·Western Michigan·20155.2 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jamauri Bogan is a Explosive Back for Western Michigan. Jamauri's 2015 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 145 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jamauri Bogan's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Rushing

1051 Rush yards16 Rush TD162 Carries6.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

3 Receptions15 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.0 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns31 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs RB peers

Efficiency98
Volume52
Explosiveness70
Consistency73
Receiving12

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.27 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.25 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Eastern Michigan (SP+ -20).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Devon Johnson	Marshall	2014	208	0.520	6.0	108.2
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6
Tyjae Spears	Tulane	2022	234	0.450	5.7	105.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsMichigan State	L24-37	15.6	3	21	7.0	0	2	9	0	0.58
2	@Georgia Southern	L17-43	7.3	3	14	4.7	0	—	—	—	0.05
3	vsMurray State	W52-20	—	4	18	4.5	0	—	—	—	0.28
4	@Ohio State	L12-38	29.5	23	93	4.0	0	—	—	—	0.18
6	vsCentral Michigan	W41-39	-3.1	12	49	4.1	0	—	—	—	0.02
7	@Ohio	W49-14	-0.5	9	135	15.0	1	—	—	—	1.07
8	vsMiami (OH)	W35-13	-13.5	19	84	4.4	2	—	—	—	0.17
9	@Eastern Michigan	W58-28	-19.7	8	61	7.6	4	—	—	—	1.25
10	vsBall State	W54-7	-15.5	18	171	9.5	2	—	—	—	0.58
11	vsBowling Green	L27-41	7.5	22	118	5.4	2	1	6	0	0.23
12	@Northern Illinois	L19-27	-0.9	15	70	4.7	0	—	—	—	0.09
13	@Toledo	W35-30	7.7	7	2	0.3	1	—	—	—	—
1	vsMiddle Tennessee	W45-31	-4.6	19	215	11.3	4	—	—	—	1.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

18.2%

Passing plays

1.2%

Rushing plays

34.0%

Standard downs

21.5%

Passing downs

9.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.31
Passing downs: 0.67
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.