#21Jacob De Jesus

WR·California·2025

Jacob De Jesus is a Versatile WR for California. Jacob's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 165 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jacob De Jesus's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

107 Receptions1022 Rec yards6 Rec TD9.6 Yards/rec

Returns

18 Kick returns363 KR yards0 KR TD22 Punt returns259 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume51
Explosiveness17
Consistency76
Pass-Down40

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency76th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.22 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.70 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs SMU (SP+ 13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2020	128	0.310	1.0	39.7
Zach Abey	Navy	2018	126	0.370	2.1	46.6
Jerrod Heard	Texas	2015	116	0.290	1.6	33.6
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2018	144	0.360	2.3	51.8
Shane Tucker	Middle Tennessee	2014	97	0.320	1.6	31.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Oregon State	W34-15	-15.9	4	26	6.5	0	8	-0.12
2	vsTexas Southern	W35-3	—	5	61	12.2	0	27	0.37
3	vsMinnesota	W27-14	1.5	7	54	7.7	1	19	-0.06
4	@San Diego State	L0-34	6.7	3	35	11.7	0	22	0.35
5	@Boston College	W28-24	-8.5	8	61	7.6	1	12	0.14
6	vsDuke	L21-45	6.6	6	56	9.3	0	30	0.64
8	vsNorth Carolina	W21-18	-6.6	13	105	8.1	1	23	0.50
9	@Virginia Tech	L34-42	-10.1	8	86	10.8	0	38	0.57
10	vsVirginia	L21-31	11.1	2	49	24.5	0	30	0.43
11	@Louisville	W29-26	12.4	16	158	9.9	1	25	0.49
13	@Stanford	L10-31	-11.8	14	96	6.9	0	16	0.02
14	vsSMU	W38-35	13.4	12	97	8.1	1	20	0.70
20	@Hawai'i	L31-35	1.7	9	138	15.3	1	41	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.9%

Passing plays

28.9%

Rushing plays

1.9%

Standard downs

15.4%

Passing downs

23.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.40
Passing downs: 0.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.41 / -0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).