California Golden Bears
ACC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1360
#90
SP+
-3.2
#80
O77/D72
FPI
-3.4
SRS
-4.1
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play3.8 – 7.2
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
3.8
of 11 games
Bowl odds
11%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
64%
vs Syracuse
Toughest
5%
vs SMU
💬California Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
357.8#89
Yards / play
5.2#105
Passing yards / game
275.3#19
Rushing yards / game
82.5#133
First downs / game
19.9#80
3rd down %
40.4%#61
4th down %
52.2%#83
Time of possession
30:14#56
Defense
Yards allowed / game
361.9#62
Yards / play allowed
5.6#63
Pass yards allowed / game
205.4#45
Rush yards allowed / game
156.5#79
3rd down % allowed
41.7%#97
Sacks
20#105
Tackles for loss
60#100
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-3#86
Takeaways
13#98
Giveaways
16#63
Penalties / game
7.8#133
Penalty yards / game
64.6#118
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
11
Avg stars
3.18
Avg rating
0.8736
2 4★9 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel McMorris#282 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.9090 | Norman, OK |
| Victor Santino#450 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8911 | Miami, FL |
| Taimane Purcell#548 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8856 | Honolulu, HI |
| EJ Morgan#836 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8714 | Fresno, CA |
| Frank Fanua#1158 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Spring Valley, CA |
| Esaiah Wong#1274 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8656 | Kailua, HI |
| Ernest Nunley#1274 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8656 | Anaheim, CA |
| Niles Davis#1274 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8656 | Westlake Village, CA |
| Luca Wolf#1090 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8650 | London, EN |
| Jonathan McKinley#1090 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8650 | Corona, CA |
| Kingston Schirmer#1656 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8578 | Corona, CA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 6.2 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 2-6 | 46% | 7.0 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 46% | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 2-7 | 33% | 3.7 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 42% | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 25% | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 4-5 | 62% | 7.8 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 54% | 6.3 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 5-7 | 2-7 | 42% | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 5.6 | -0.6 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).