#7Dwayne Haskins

QB·Ohio State·201817.5 pts line value1st Round

Dwayne Haskins is a Clutch Passer for Ohio State. Dwayne's 2018 season ranks in the 85th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 594 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dwayne Haskins's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2018 Production

Passing

371/531 Comp/Att4751 Pass yards49 Pass TD8 INT69.9% Comp %

Rushing

108 Rush yards4 Rush TD79 Carries1.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2018 · vs QB peers

Efficiency85
Volume100
Dual-Threat34
Consistency83
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)85th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (85th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.25 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.93 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Tulane (SP+ -4).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Chad Kelly	Ole Miss	2015	583	0.635	17.5	370.2
Brandon Doughty	Western Kentucky	2014	612	0.620	17.8	379.4
Mason Rudolph	Oklahoma State	2017	592	0.655	18.4	387.6
Brandon Doughty	Western Kentucky	2015	571	0.690	18.2	394.0
Jalen Hurts	Oklahoma	2019	557	0.708	17.3	394.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsOregon State	W77-31	-16.0	22/30	313	5	1	24	0	0.77
2	vsRutgers	W52-3	-12.3	20/23	233	4	0	-9	0	0.66
3	vsTCU	W40-28	6.9	24/38	344	2	0	8	1	0.58
4	vsTulane	W49-6	-3.5	21/24	304	5	0	5	0	0.93
5	@Penn State	W27-26	19.0	22/39	270	3	1	8	0	0.09
6	vsIndiana	W49-26	1.6	33/44	455	6	2	7	0	0.65
7	vsMinnesota	W30-14	6.3	33/44	412	3	0	6	0	0.49
8	@Purdue	L20-49	6.5	48/72	468	2	1	7	0	0.11
10	vsNebraska	W36-31	5.4	18/32	252	2	1	-11	0	0.12
11	@Michigan State	W26-6	11.5	24/39	227	1	0	-11	0	0.14
12	@Maryland	W52-51	3.0	28/38	405	3	1	59	3	0.51
13	vsMichigan	W62-39	22.0	19/30	318	5	0	34	0	0.64
14	vsNorthwestern	W45-24	1.9	34/41	499	5	1	-5	0	0.70
1	vsWashington	W28-23	19.9	25/37	251	3	0	-14	0	0.23

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.6%

Passing plays

94.8%

Rushing plays

10.9%

Standard downs

46.2%

Passing downs

73.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.30
Passing downs: 0.64
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.47 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2018 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.