#18Anthony Gordon

QB·Washington State·20199.6 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Anthony Gordon is a Clutch Passer for Washington State. Anthony's 2019 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 704 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Anthony Gordon's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Passing

493/689 Comp/Att5575 Pass yards48 Pass TD16 INT71.6% Comp %

Rushing

-20 Rush yards0 Rush TD51 Carries-0.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

Efficiency30
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency79
Clutch70

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.17 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs New Mexico State (SP+ -22).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Casey Thompson	Nebraska	2021	666	0.528	12.6	351.4
Drake Maye	North Carolina	2022	707	0.523	13.0	369.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	EPA/play
1	vsNew Mexico State	W58-7	-22.0	29/35	420	5	0	98.5	-7	0.56
2	vsNorthern Colorado	W59-17	—	31/39	464	4	1	94.8	10	0.29
3	vsHouston	W31-24	-4.3	36/48	440	3	1	81.5	16	0.42
4	vsUCLA	L63-67	-3.9	41/61	570	9	2	84.3	21	0.48
5	@Utah	L13-38	19.5	30/49	252	1	2	35.1	1	0.05
7	@Arizona State	L34-38	6.3	44/64	466	3	0	79.0	1	0.39
8	vsColorado	W41-10	-4.1	35/51	369	4	1	79.3	-5	0.31
9	@Oregon	L35-37	19.0	32/50	406	3	2	65.5	1	0.18
11	@California	L20-33	-2.6	45/58	407	2	1	—	-3	-0.02
12	vsStanford	W49-22	-4.7	44/60	520	5	1	—	-1	0.20
13	vsOregon State	W54-53	-0.7	50/70	606	6	3	—	-9	0.47
14	@Washington	L13-31	18.3	48/62	308	0	2	—	-33	-0.09
1	vsAir Force	L21-31	12.1	28/42	347	3	0	—	-12	0.46

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

78.2%

Passing plays

96.0%

Rushing plays

20.4%

Standard downs

77.5%

Passing downs

79.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.24
Passing downs: 0.40
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.32 / -0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.