#25Akrum Wadley

RB·Iowa·20162.6 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Akrum Wadley is a Pass-Catching Back for Iowa. Akrum's 2016 season ranks in the 55th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 200 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Akrum Wadley's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2016 Production

Rushing

1081 Rush yards10 Rush TD168 Carries6.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

36 Receptions315 Rec yards3 Rec TD8.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers

Efficiency55
Volume73
Explosiveness68
Consistency61
Receiving92

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)55th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency61th %ile · average

Key findings

▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.76 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Miami (OH) (SP+ -6).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsMiami (OH)	W45-21	-6.1	12	121	10.1	2	3	21	0	0.76
2	vsIowa State	W42-3	0.7	9	49	5.4	1	1	26	1	0.55
3	vsNorth Dakota State	L21-23	—	4	20	5.0	0	1	7	0	-0.26
4	@Rutgers	W14-7	-14.9	12	84	7.0	1	2	38	0	0.30
5	vsNorthwestern	L31-38	2.9	14	35	2.5	2	1	1	0	-0.00
6	@Minnesota	W14-7	12.6	14	107	7.6	1	1	-2	0	0.03
7	@Purdue	W49-35	-11.0	15	176	11.7	1	2	25	0	0.68
8	vsWisconsin	L9-17	16.1	10	44	4.4	0	7	72	0	0.20
10	@Penn State	L14-41	19.0	9	28	3.1	0	5	32	1	0.14
11	vsMichigan	W14-13	24.4	23	115	5.0	0	5	52	1	0.15
12	@Illinois	W28-0	-6.7	13	82	6.3	1	2	3	0	-0.10
13	vsNebraska	W40-10	10.3	11	105	9.5	1	2	19	0	0.34
1	vsFlorida	L3-30	15.4	22	115	5.2	0	4	21	0	0.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

25.5%

Passing plays

12.9%

Rushing plays

34.9%

Standard downs

27.7%

Passing downs

20.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.43
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.54 / 0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.