Schedule & Results
NIUNorthern IllinoisW40-0✓Wk 2vs
ISUIowa StateW16-13✓Wk 3vsNOIONorthern IowaWk 4@
MICHMichigan+4.639%Wk 5vs
OSUOhio State+17.712%Wk 6@
WASHWashington+5.038%Wk 8@
MINNMinnesota+2.743%Wk 9vs
WISWisconsin-9.272%Wk 10@
NUNorthwestern+6.234%Wk 11vs
PURPurdue-10.475%Wk 12@
ILLIllinois-3.058%Wk 13vs
NEBNebraska-1.755%Team Leaders
Hank BrownPassing129 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
Kamari MoultonRushing183 yds · 2 TD · 16.6 avg
Tony DiazReceiving7 rec · 84 yds · 1 TD
Cam BuffingtonTackles6 tackles · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
Latest on Iowa
All news →Iowa State can't stay on schedule against Iowa
Kamari Moulton ran for 183 yards and Iowa did not need much else
Northern Illinois kept the passing game that ranked 134th
Roster · 111 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jimmy Sullivan | QB | SO | 6'1" | 205 | Fort Wayne, IN |
| 4 | Tradon Bessinger | QB | FR | 6'5" | 213 | Kaysville, UT |
| 9 | Hank Brown | QB | SR | 6'4" | 218 | Nashville, TN |
| 10 | Jeremy Hecklinski | QB | JR | 5'11" | 201 | Marietta, GA |
| 16 | Ryan Fitzgerald | QB | SO | 6'2" | 221 | Northfield, IL |
| 5 | Nathan McNeil | RB | SO | 5'11" | 202 | Tampa, FL |
| 15 | O'Lontae Dean | RB | SO | 6'0" | 212 | Plant City, FL |
| 21 | L.J. Phillips Jr. | RB | SR | 5'8" | 211 | Wichita, KS |
| 22 | Braeden Jackson | RB | SO | 5'11" | 206 | Ankeny, IA |
| 23 | Brevin Doll | RB | JR | 6'0" | 213 | Adel, IA |
| 26 | Xavier Williams | RB | JR | 5'10" | 228 | Schererville, IN |
| 28 | Kamari Moulton | RB | SR | 5'9" | 211 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 0 | Jarriett Buie | WR | JR | 6'2" | 198 | Tampa, FL |
| 1 | KJ Parker | WR | JR | 5'10" | 191 | Bellwood, IL |
| 2 | Reece Vander Zee | WR | JR | 6'4" | 220 | Rock Rapids, IA |
| 6 | Xavier Stinson | WR | FR | 6'2" | 202 | Port Saint Lucie, FL |
| 7 | Dayton Howard | WR | SR | 6'5" | 215 | Kansas City, MO |
| 8 | Evan James | WR | SO | 5'10" | 170 | Apopka, FL |
| 11 | Brody Schaffer | WR | FR | 6'1" | 195 | Winneconne, WI |
| 12 | Diondre Smith | WR | FR | 5'10" | 160 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 14 | Tony Diaz | WR | JR | 5'10" | 184 | San Marcos, TX |
| 17 | Alex Eichmann | WR | SR | 6'2" | 210 | Sussex, WI |
| 83 | Jackson Naeve | WR | JR | 6'0" | 195 | Iowa City, IA |
| 84 | Apollo Payne | WR | SO | 6'3" | 214 | Swisher, IA |
| 88 | Lance Beeghley | WR | JR | 6'2" | 197 | New Braunfels, TX |
| 89 | Isaiah Oliver | WR | FR | 5'11" | 199 | Clive, IA |
| 18 | Luke Brewer | TE | FR | 6'4" | 239 | Norwalk, IA |
| 19 | Mason Woods | TE | SO | 6'2" | 230 | Coralville, IA |
| 48 | Zach Ortwerth | TE | SR | 6'4" | 247 | Saint Louis, MO |
| 80 | Michael Burt | TE | JR | 6'5" | 252 | Omaha, NE |
| 81 | DJ Vonnahme | TE | JR | 6'4" | 241 | Breda, IA |
| 82 | Dylan Stecker | TE | SO | 6'4" | 233 | Spirit Lake, IA |
| 85 | Thomas Meyer | TE | SO | 6'4" | 248 | Clear Lake, IA |
| 86 | Eli Johnson | TE | SO | 6'5" | 250 | River Falls, WI |
| 87 | Addison Ostrenga | TE | SR | 6'4" | 249 | Sun Prairie, WI |
| 52 | Will Hahn | OL | SO | 6'1" | 294 | Decorah, IA |
| 53 | Michael Myslinski | OL | SR | 6'2" | 299 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 58 | Kade Pieper | OL | SR | 6'3" | 298 | Norfolk, NE |
| 59 | Trevor Lauck | OL | SR | 6'5" | 314 | Indianapolis, IN |
| 60 | Lucas Allgeyer | OL | SO | 6'5" | 297 | St. Louis, MO |
| 61 | Cael Winter | OL | SR | 6'3" | 294 | Waukee, IA |
| 63 | Josh Janowski | OL | JR | 6'2" | 294 | Frankfort, IL |
| 64 | Leighton Jones | OL | SR | 6'2" | 288 | Brownsburg, IN |
| 65 | Trent Wilson | OL | SO | 6'3" | 290 | Southlake, TX |
| 68 | Will Nolan | OL | JR | 6'6" | 313 | Arlington Heights, IL |
| 70 | Hudson Parliament | OL | FR | 6'4" | 313 | Brandon, SD |
| 71 | Jack Dotzler | OL | SR | 6'6" | 309 | Waunakee, WI |
| 72 | Owen Linder | OL | FR | 6'6" | 294 | Chanhassen, MN |
| 73 | Colin Whitters | OL | FR | 6'3" | 329 | Iowa City, IA |
| 74 | Bodey McCaslin | OL | JR | 6'6" | 303 | St. Charles, IL |
| 75 | Cannon Leonard | OL | SR | 6'8" | 309 | Gilman, IL |
| 77 | George Nahas | OL | SR | 6'3" | 295 | West Des Moines, IA |
| 78 | Gene Riordan | OL | FR | 6'5" | 302 | Hinsdale, IL |
| 79 | Carson Nielsen | OL | FR | 6'7" | 311 | Waterloo, IA |
| 13 | Drew Campbell | DE | JR | 6'4" | 252 | Cedar Falls, IA |
| 40 | Chima Chineke | DE | JR | 6'4" | 262 | Plano, TX |
| 84 | Joseph Anderson | DE | JR | 6'6" | 241 | St. Louis, MO |
| 32 | Sawyer Jezierski | DL | FR | 6'3" | 285 | Edina, MN |
| 42 | David Fason | DL | FR | 6'0" | 268 | Marion, IA |
| 43 | Kahmari Brown | DL | JR | 6'2" | 259 | Jacksonville, NC |
| 44 | Kenneth Merrieweather | DL | SR | 6'3" | 270 | Detroit, MI |
| 45 | Jack Janda | DL | FR | 6'5" | 272 | Livonia, MI |
| 50 | Will Lockhart | DL | SO | 6'3" | 250 | Denver, IA |
| 51 | Luke Gaffney | DL | SR | 6'2" | 288 | Robins, IA |
| 56 | Maddux Borcherding-Johnson | DL | SR | 6'3" | 299 | Norwalk, IA |
| 57 | Will Hubert | DL | SR | 6'3" | 291 | Omaha, NE |
| 88 | Emmanuel Olagbaju | DL | SR | 6'2" | 314 | Osseo, MN |
| 91 | Devan Kennedy | DL | JR | 6'3" | 281 | Glendale, AZ |
| 92 | Brice Stevenson | DL | SR | 6'0" | 287 | Tampa, FL |
| 95 | Lance Ingold | DL | JR | 6'5" | 251 | Rochester, IL |
| 96 | Bryce Hawthorne | DL | SR | 6'3" | 298 | Osseo, MN |
| 97 | Iose Epenesa | DL | SO | 6'3" | 269 | Glen Carbon, IL |
| 99 | Brad Fitzgibbon | DL | SO | 6'3" | 288 | Chicago, IL |
| 4 | Julian Manson | LB | FR | 6'3" | 225 | North Liberty, IA |
| 9 | Kasen Thomas | LB | FR | 6'2" | 230 | Sioux City, IA |
| 10 | Burke Gautcher | LB | SO | 6'3" | 231 | Sycamore, IL |
| 12 | Billy Weivoda | LB | FR | 6'2" | 226 | Atlanta, GA |
| 15 | Carson Cooney | LB | SO | 6'3" | 222 | Oswego, IL |
| 22 | Derek Weisskopf | LB | JR | 6'3" | 233 | Victor, IA |
| 23 | Landyn Van Kekerix | LB | SR | 6'2" | 238 | Rock Valley, IA |
| 31 | Nolan DeLong | LB | SR | 6'0" | 231 | Durant, IA |
| 33 | Cam Buffington | LB | JR | 6'3" | 238 | Winfield, IA |
| 36 | Jayden Montgomery | LB | SR | 5'11" | 227 | Suamico, WI |
| 37 | Brayton Alford | LB | FR | 6'0" | 211 | Carroll, IA |
| 46 | Preston Ries | LB | JR | 6'1" | 226 | Monticello, IA |
| 47 | Jack Laughlin | LB | SR | 6'1" | 224 | Carlisle, IA |
| 0 | Cody Haddad | DB | SO | 5'11" | 186 | Cleveland, OH |
| 1 | Darion Jones | DB | FR | 6'1" | 181 | Omaha, NE |
| 2 | Tyler Brown | DB | JR | 5'10" | 201 | Annapolis, MD |
| 3 | Jaylen Watson | DB | JR | 5'11" | 187 | Detroit, MI |
| 5 | Anthony Hawkins | DB | JR | 6'3" | 202 | Annapolis, MD |
| 6 | Zach Lutmer | DB | SR | 6'1" | 203 | Rock Rapids, IA |
| 7 | Rashad Godfrey Jr. | DB | JR | 6'1" | 202 | Plant City, FL |
| 8 | Deshaun Lee | DB | SR | 5'10" | 189 | Belleville, MI |
| 11 | Jacob Wallace | DB | SO | 5'10" | 186 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 14 | Alex Mota | DB | SR | 6'0" | 195 | Marion, IA |
| 16 | Ronnie Hill | DB | FR | 5'11" | 192 | Eastpointe, MI |
| 18 | Xavier Styles | DB | JR | 6'1" | 207 | Lakewood, OH |
| 19 | Kyler Gerardy | DB | JR | 6'0" | 199 | Eldridge, IA |
| 20 | Ty Hudkins | DB | JR | 6'0" | 201 | Grand Rapids, MI |
| 21 | Marcello Vitti | DB | FR | 5'10" | 201 | Detroit, MI |
| 26 | Eli Robbins | DB | FR | 6'0" | 193 | Des Moines, IA |
| 29 | Noah Daniel | DB | FR | 6'0" | 197 | Fort Dodge, IA |
| 30 | Eli Kampman | DB | FR | 6'2" | 197 | Solon, IA |
| 34 | Drew MacPherson | DB | SO | 6'1" | 204 | Glenview, IL |
| 25 | Eli Ozick | PK | SR | 5'11" | 199 | Liberty, MO |
| 92 | Caden Buhr | PK | SO | 5'10" | 203 | Bettendorf, IA |
| 35 | Tanner Philpott | P | JR | 6'1" | 210 | Waukee, IA |
| 49 | Boston Everitt | P | SO | 6'0" | 199 | Hope Island, QLD |
| 54 | Matty McLaughlin | LS | FR | 6'1" | 195 | St. Louis, MO |
| 69 | Ike Speltz | LS | JR | 6'0" | 233 | Van Meter, IA |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Iowa is in year 13 under Kirk Ferentz, whose offenses have been balanced. The strengths are on both sides of the ball, led by 8th at keeping everything in front of them. The way in is 137th at hitting chunk plays.
On fourth down he goes for it less often than his peers do from the same spots (−4.5%). Against what the expected-points model recommends he is −43.0% — the profession as a whole is negative on this.
Iowa has played 1 game against an average slate, adjusted for here. That football carries about 0% of what is below; the rest is still the preseason projection.
Projected strengths
- Defensehitting chunk plays#8projected
- Defensesurviving second and twelve#13projected
- Offensegetting stopped at the line#17projected
Projected soft spots
- Offensehitting chunk plays#137projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 9 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 9 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 3.71#26
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 1.76 / 3.90
- Power / stuff (off)
- 33.3% / 9.5%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 20.7%#38
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 13.8% / 6.9%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.32#23 | 0.16#79 | 0.73#49 |
| Defense | -0.38#10 | -0.32#15 | -0.27#7 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 43 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.0621st
- Defense EPA/play allowed-0.3399th
- Offense success rate42%38th
- Defense success rate allowed17%96th
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs49%46th
- Offense success — passing downs27%28th
- Defense success allowed — standard downs18%97th
- Defense success allowed — passing downs16%86th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.255th
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.425th
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs1.046th
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs2.266th
Trenches
- Offense line yards3.361st
- Defense line yards allowed1.787th
- Offense highlight yards3.293rd
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.0099th
- Offense power success0.298th
- Defense power success allowed1.023rd
- Offense stuff rate0.2126th
- Defense stuff rate0.2878th
Third down
- Third down conversion43%47th
- Third down distance faced6.653rd
- Third down conversion allowed21%83rd
- Third down distance forced7.249th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.3888th
- Net success rate — second half0.0649th
Drives
- Points per drive2.665th
- Points per drive allowed-0.5099th
- Average starting field position4095th
- Opponent starting field position2291st
- Available yards gained61%75th
- Available yards allowed12%99th
- Scoring opportunities per drive100%99th
- Scoring opportunities allowed50%96th
- Points per scoring opportunity2.648th
- Points allowed per opportunity0.0099th
- Three-and-out rate23%53rd
- Three-and-outs forced71%99th
Roster
- Returning usage40%47th
- Returning EPA80.441st
- Team talent composite72369th
- Recruiting class rank26.082nd
- Recruiting class points22982nd
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Rush efficiency edge: 0.098 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes primarily from the front seven.
Season Signature
2-0 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
What a possession is worth · 13 drives
Play-calling identity
Against what the league calls from the same down, distance, field position, score and clock — so this is the staff, not the game script.
- Pass rate
- 58.0%
- Expected, given the spots
- 54.8%
- Over expected
- +3.2
- Fourth down vs peers
- -14
- Fourth down vs the model
- -33
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Iowa is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Iowa in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program Trajectory · CORE rating · 2015–2026 · points per game vs an average FBS team
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 100% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 6-3 | 69% | 9.4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 6-3 | 62% | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 10-4 | 7-3 | 71% | 7.8 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 62% | 6.9 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 10-4 | 7-3 | 71% | 7.0 | +3.0 |
| 2020 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 75% | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 10-3 | 6-3 | 77% | 7.7 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 9-4 | 5-4 | 69% | 8.6 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 8-5 | 4-5 | 62% | 7.9 | +0.1 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
1-0 so far, projected to finish 8.4-3.7. Top-four bye in 3.5%. Wins the Big Ten in 4.0%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count. Better than even up to 1.
Win out and it is 100%. Running the table settles it.
up 0.4 points since preseason — won 40-0 over Northern Illinois against an expected margin of +34, so +5.8 against the number.
- At 2 losses they are 47% where the average Big Ten team is 72%.
- The Big Ten takes 3.19 bids in an average season, and four or more in 37%.
Iowa’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk5vs Ohio State35.1
- wk6at Washington25.5
- wk4at Michigan24.1
- wk12at Illinois21.6
- wk8at Minnesota21.4
- wk13vs Nebraska21.1
Who to root for
Games Iowa is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk6Maryland over Ohio State2.4
- wk9Northern Illinois over UNLV2.3
- wk4Purdue over Notre Dame2.2
- wk13Georgia Tech over Georgia2.2
- wk2Northern Illinois over Illinois State1.7
- wk7Indiana over Ohio State1.6
Big Ten
0-0 in league play, projected 5.5-3.55 of 18 by title oddsThe Big Ten sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 50% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk5Ohio State at Iowa12.6
- wk6Iowa at Washington5.9
- wk4Iowa at Michigan5.5
- wk8Iowa at Minnesota5.0
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole Big Ten race →
If not the playoff, then
Iowa is 1-0 and needs 5 more wins from 11 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent. In 1.6% of seasons they get there and still go nowhere: there are more eligible teams than seats.
- ReliaQuest Bowl10%
- Citrus Bowl10%
- Music City Bowl9.7%
- Las Vegas Bowl9.7%
- Pinstripe Bowl8.1%
- Rate Bowl7.0%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 6 have sent Iowa a player since 2010 — 8 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Iowa's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.