Bethune-Cookman vs. Florida International: Final Score & Recap

CommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Bethune-Cookman2-0

▸0034

Florida International0-2

0013

Final

FIU Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
BETH	7	7	14	6	34
FIU	0	7	0	6	13

BETHTeam statsFIU

349Total yards229

38Pass156

311Rush73

19First downs9

4-123rd down3-12

1Turnovers2

34:15Possession25:45

Scoring plays

• Q4 7:45FIUFLORIDA INTL pass complete for a touchdown.34–13
• Q4 14:38BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN interception return for a touchdow28–7
• Q3 4:01BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.28–7
• Q3 4:01BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.27–7
• Q3 7:46BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.21–7
• Q3 7:46BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.20–7
• Q2 1:58BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.14–7
• Q2 1:58BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.13–7
• Q2 6:51FIUFLORIDA INTL Extra point GOOD.7–7
• Q2 6:51FIUFLORIDA INTL pass complete for a touchdown.7–6
• Q1 11:27BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.7–0
• Q1 11:27BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.6–0

How the model called it

Market line

FIU −3

Against the number

BETH covered

line FIU −3

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

BETH aheadFIU ahead

Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = BETH ahead, below = FIU ahead.

GRIDPEX.COM

Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

FIU −3

Closing total

—

Model line

—

Actual result

BETH 34 – 13 FIU

consensus, liveFIU −3

Leaders

Bethune-Cookman

• PassQuentin Williams 6/11, 38 YDS, 1 INT
• RushAnthony Jordan 21 CAR, 150 YDS, 1 TD
• RecAnthony Jordan 3 REC, 14 YDS

Florida International

• PassJake Medlock 9/15, 149 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
• RushLamarq Caldwell 13 CAR, 38 YDS
• RecT.J. Lowder 6 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

32.9sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

108

Points / snap

0.44

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

BETH up 21 entering the 4th quarter. Across 671 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

99%

BETH went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WIdaho vs Nevada33-6WVillanova vs Elon21-0WYale vs Columbia35-7WArmy vs Louisiana Tech27-6WGeorgia Southern vs James Madison28-14

Fourth downs

15 calls

FIU gave up 3.1 points to the model on fourth down.BETH 4/5 · FIU 4/8 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Bethune-Cookman vs. Florida International?

Bethune-Cookman 34, Florida International 13.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked FIU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

BETH

FIU

46%

Success rate

34%

-0.04

EPA / pass

0.05

0.12

EPA / rush

-0.19

47%

Early-down success

36%

27%

Pass success

44%

50%

Rush success

28%

10%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

6%

20%

Stuffed rush rate

21%

18%

Pass rate

38%

9.8

Avg 3rd-down distance

10.1

BETH

9.8 yards to go on 3rd down

61 scrimmage snaps

FIU

10.1 yards to go on 3rd down

47 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

BETH		FIU
349	Total yards	229
38	Passing yards	156
311	Rushing yards	73
19	First downs	9
4-12	3rd down	3-12
1-1	4th down	1-2
6/11	Comp/Att	11/18
3.5	Yards per pass	8.7
6.0	Yards per rush	2.2
1	Turnovers	2
6-60	Penalties	7-50
34:15	Possession	25:45

Fourth downs

15 calls

BETH

4/5 with the model

−1.0 pts · −0.0% win prob

FIU

4/8 with the model

−3.1 pts · −0.0% win prob

Costliest call

Q1 15:00 FIU punt on 4th & 10 at BETH 35. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 1.07 points.

Every call, priced (15)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

BETH 4/13 scoring drives← own end zone →FIU 3/12 scoring drives

FIUPUNT4 pl, 42 yds· own 23Q1

BETHTD4 pl, 91 yds· own 9Q1

FIUPUNT5 pl, 20 yds· own 30Q1

BETHPUNT4 pl, 11 yds· own 36Q1

FIUPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 12Q1

BETHPUNT5 pl, 7 yds· own 17Q1

FIUDOWNS4 pl, 9 yds· opp 38Q1

BETHPUNT7 pl, 37 yds· own 29Q2

FIUTD8 pl, 90 yds· own 10Q2

BETHTD11 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q2

FIUPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 24Q2

BETHEND3 pl, -5 yds· own 30Q2

BETHTD13 pl, 81 yds· own 19Q3

FIUPUNT3 pl, -14 yds· own 27Q3

BETHTD3 pl, 49 yds· opp 49Q3

FIUPUNT6 pl, 5 yds· own 39Q3

BETHINT3 pl, -2 yds· own 33Q3

FIUTD2 pl, 14 yds· opp 37Q3

BETHINT0 pl, 0 yds· own 9Q4

FIUFUM6 pl, 37 yds· opp 39Q4

BETHPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 2Q4

FIUTD4 pl, 7 yds· opp 7Q4

BETHPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 19Q4

FIUPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 34Q4

BETHEND1 pl, -7 yds· own 27Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 7:45FIUFLORIDA INTL pass complete for a touchdown.34–13
• Q4 14:38BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN interception return for a touchdow28–7
• Q3 4:01BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.28–7
• Q3 4:01BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.27–7
• Q3 7:46BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.21–7
• Q3 7:46BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.20–7
• Q2 1:58BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.14–7
• Q2 1:58BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.13–7
• Q2 6:51FIUFLORIDA INTL Extra point GOOD.7–7
• Q2 6:51FIUFLORIDA INTL pass complete for a touchdown.7–6
• Q1 11:27BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN Extra point GOOD.7–0
• Q1 11:27BETHBETHUNE COOKMAN rush for a touchdown.6–0

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

The matchup, in context

series history + adjusted profiles

Bethune-Cookman were +3 — a 43% shot

#49 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #84 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.

The 2013 upset archive →

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →