Louisiana Tech vs. Army: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
LTTeam statsARMY
- Q4 14:56ARMYBryson Daily 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)6–27
- Q3 2:11LTDrew Henderson 44 Yd Field Goal 6–21
- Q2 1:54ARMYBryson Daily 8 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)3–21
- Q2 14:15LTDrew Henderson 27 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q1 1:28ARMYHayden Reed 12 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)0–14
- Q1 9:32ARMYBryson Daily 15 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassEvan Bullock 14/28, 169 YDS, 1 INT
- RushOmiri Wiggins 8 CAR, 40 YDS
- RecTru Edwards 8 REC, 92 YDS
- PassBryson Daily 2/9, 65 YDS
- RushBryson Daily 27 CAR, 127 YDS, 3 TD
- RecDavid Crossan 1 REC, 52 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Louisiana Tech vs. Army?
Louisiana Tech 6, Army 27.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ARMY) was correct.
| LT | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 218 | Total yards | 386 |
| 169 | Passing yards | 65 |
| 49 | Rushing yards | 321 |
| 11 | First downs | 26 |
| 3-11 | 3rd down | 5-12 |
| 0-3 | 4th down | 4-5 |
| 14/28 | Comp/Att | 2/9 |
| 6.0 | Yards per pass | 7.2 |
| 2.2 | Yards per rush | 5.0 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 5-50 | Penalties | 1-15 |
| 19:52 | Possession | 40:08 |
- Q4 14:56ARMYBryson Daily 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)6–27
- Q3 2:11LTDrew Henderson 44 Yd Field Goal 6–21
- Q2 1:54ARMYBryson Daily 8 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)3–21
- Q2 14:15LTDrew Henderson 27 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q1 1:28ARMYHayden Reed 12 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)0–14
- Q1 9:32ARMYBryson Daily 15 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (ARMY Elo 1630, LT Elo 1377 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects ARMY -10.1 (76% to win) — 4.4 points clear of LT's market line of -14.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| LT | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| -11.0 (#102) | CORE overall | +10.0 (#35) |
| -14 / -3 | offense / defense | +10 / -0 |
| 1.67 | points / drive | 3.77 |
| 1.77 | allowed / drive | 1.95 |
| 27% | three-and-outs | 15% |
| +2 | pass over expected | -27 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →