Mariners at Angels
SEA––
LAA–Us vs the market
book · exchangeShown for reference only. Our side model measures at a coin flip (Brier 0.253 vs 0.250), so a gap here is not an edge — it is three independent guesses, and the two market numbers are the better-informed ones. Before first pitch the first column is the league-average home win rate, not a projection for this matchup — the per-game simulation runs once the game starts.
Exchange prices are public market data from Kalshi; book lines are from the sportsbook via ESPN. Prices only — Gridpex does not accept, place, or route wagers.
- Hoby Milner4d rest
- Michael Rucker4d rest
- Cooper Criswell4d rest
- Gabe Speier2d rest · 23p/3d
- Andrés Muñoz2d rest · 41p/3d
- Eduard Bazardo1d rest · 3p/3d
- José A. Ferrer1d rest · 6p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
- Sammy Peralta11d rest
- Blake Weiman5d rest
- Mitch Farris5d rest
- Tayler Saucedo3d rest · 6p/3d
- Ben Joyce3d rest · 22p/3d
- Luke Murphy1d rest · 8p/3d
- José Fermin1d rest · 15p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.