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Tru Edwards
Tru Edwards

#16Tru Edwards

WR·Louisiana Tech·2024

Tru Edwards is a Versatile WR for Louisiana Tech. Tru's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 84 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tru Edwards's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
85 Receptions989 Rec yards6 Rec TD11.6 Yards/rec
Returns
10 Punt returns120 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume30
  • Explosiveness31
  • Consistency73
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency73th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.09 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 3.13 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs NC State (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.130−3.13Wk 1 vs Nicholls: +0.46 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs NC State: +3.13 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Tulsa: -0.10 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Florida International: +0.01 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Middle Tennessee: +1.64 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs New Mexico State: +1.72 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs UTEP: +0.67 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Sam Houston: +0.82 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Jacksonville State: +2.57 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Western Kentucky: +0.22 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Arkansas: +0.65 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Kennesaw State: +1.02 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsNichollsW25-17——————0.46
3@NC StateL20-303.9414837.01713.13
4vsTulsaL20-23-20.65214.208-0.10
5vsFlorida InternationalL10-17-12.18394.90180.01
7vsMiddle TennesseeW48-21-24.4612721.21751.64
8@New Mexico StateL30-33-19.0911012.22191.72
9vsUTEPW14-10-22.76416.80160.67
10@Sam HoustonL3-9-6.988010.00190.82
11vsJacksonville StateL37-44-1.0614223.72862.57
12@Western KentuckyW12-7-2.27527.40220.22
13@ArkansasL14-3511.08536.60130.65
14vsKennesaw StateW33-0-25.110848.40151.02
20vsArmyL6-279.289211.5026—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.6%
Passing plays
20.2%
Rushing plays
0.7%
Standard downs
9.4%
Passing downs
13.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.71
Passing downs
1.42
Pass / Rush EPA
0.99 / 1.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.