Oklahoma vs. Texas: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
OUTeam statsTEX
- Q4 10:07OUOKLAHOMA interception return for a touchdown.20–36
- Q4 10:07OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.20–36
- Q3 0:21TEXTEXAS Extra point GOOD.13–36
- Q3 0:21TEXTEXAS pass complete for a touchdown.13–35
- Q3 7:22TEXTEXAS punt return for a touchdown.13–29
- Q3 11:08OUOKLAHOMA 37 yard field goal GOOD.13–23
- Q2 0:00TEXTEXAS 43 yard field goal GOOD.10–23
- Q2 1:06OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.10–20
- Q2 1:06OUOKLAHOMA rush for a touchdown.9–20
- Q2 3:22TEXTEXAS 50 yard field goal GOOD.3–20
- Q2 8:46TEXTEXAS Extra point GOOD.3–17
- Q2 8:46TEXTEXAS pass complete for a touchdown.3–16
- Q1 2:29TEXTEXAS Extra point GOOD.3–10
- Q1 2:29TEXTEXAS interception return for a touchdown.3–9
- Q1 6:53OUOKLAHOMA 34 yard field goal GOOD.3–3
- Q1 10:13TEXTEXAS 31 yard field goal GOOD.0–3
How the model called it
- PassBlake Bell 12/26, 133 YDS, 2 INT
- RushKeith Ford 6 CAR, 34 YDS
- RecLacoltan Bester 5 REC, 70 YDS
- PassCase McCoy 13/21, 190 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushJohnathan Gray 29 CAR, 123 YDS
- RecMarcus Johnson 1 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTEX up 23 entering the 4th quarter. Across 837 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 8:46TEX +22%
Case McCoy pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 59 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 7:22TEX +18%
Jed Barnett punt for 47 yards, returned by Daje Johnson for 85 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 1:06OU +16%
Damien Williams rush for 3 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 2:29TEX +16%
Blake Bell pass intercepted by Chris Whaley at the Okla 31, returned for 31 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 0:00TEX +9%
Anthony Fera 43 yard field goal GOOD
- Q2 3:22TEX +9%
Anthony Fera 50 yard field goal GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Oklahoma vs. Texas?
Oklahoma 20, Texas 36.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked OU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| OU | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 263 | Total yards | 445 |
| 133 | Passing yards | 190 |
| 130 | Rushing yards | 255 |
| 13 | First downs | 24 |
| 2-13 | 3rd down | 13-20 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 12/26 | Comp/Att | 13/22 |
| 5.1 | Yards per pass | 8.6 |
| 3.9 | Yards per rush | 4.3 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 8-63 | Penalties | 3-15 |
| 24:45 | Possession | 35:15 |
Costliest call
Q4 12:42 TEX punt on 4th & 3 at TEX 41. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.25 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 10:07OUOKLAHOMA interception return for a touchdown.20–36
- Q4 10:07OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.20–36
- Q3 0:21TEXTEXAS Extra point GOOD.13–36
- Q3 0:21TEXTEXAS pass complete for a touchdown.13–35
- Q3 7:22TEXTEXAS punt return for a touchdown.13–29
- Q3 11:08OUOKLAHOMA 37 yard field goal GOOD.13–23
- Q2 0:00TEXTEXAS 43 yard field goal GOOD.10–23
- Q2 1:06OUOKLAHOMA Extra point GOOD.10–20
- Q2 1:06OUOKLAHOMA rush for a touchdown.9–20
- Q2 3:22TEXTEXAS 50 yard field goal GOOD.3–20
- Q2 8:46TEXTEXAS Extra point GOOD.3–17
- Q2 8:46TEXTEXAS pass complete for a touchdown.3–16
- Q1 2:29TEXTEXAS Extra point GOOD.3–10
- Q1 2:29TEXTEXAS interception return for a touchdown.3–9
- Q1 6:53OUOKLAHOMA 34 yard field goal GOOD.3–3
- Q1 10:13TEXTEXAS 31 yard field goal GOOD.0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEX Elo 1619, OU Elo 1879 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects TEX +10.4 (26% to win) — 3.1 points clear of TEX's market line of +13.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#26 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #26 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Texas leads 62–51–5 · Texas has won 2 straight · 48% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →