#25Tyrone Owens

RB·New Mexico·20162.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Tyrone Owens is a Explosive Back for New Mexico. Tyrone's 2016 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 137 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tyrone Owens's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2016 Production

Rushing

1097 Rush yards7 Rush TD137 Carries8.0 Yards/carry

Receiving

7 Receptions54 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers

Efficiency80
Volume50
Explosiveness100
Consistency59
Receiving44

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency59th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (80th percentile).
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.93 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -21).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Nick Wilson	Arizona	2014	250	0.410	5.2	102.5
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouth Dakota	W48-21	—	10	48	4.8	0	—	—	—	0.20
2	@New Mexico State	L31-32	-17.2	16	76	4.8	0	1	10	0	0.16
3	@Rutgers	L28-37	-14.9	14	67	4.8	0	—	—	—	-0.10
5	vsSan José State	W48-41	-13.6	16	117	7.3	1	2	27	0	0.35
6	vsBoise State	L21-49	11.5	7	82	11.7	1	—	—	—	0.46
7	vsAir Force	W45-40	4.4	16	126	7.9	1	—	—	—	0.35
8	vsUL Monroe	W59-17	-21.3	9	171	19.0	1	1	4	0	0.93
9	@Hawai'i	W28-21	-10.1	12	134	11.2	1	2	9	0	0.50
10	vsNevada	W35-26	-13.0	12	69	5.8	1	1	4	0	0.25
11	@Utah State	W24-21	-4.4	10	37	3.7	0	—	—	—	-0.23
12	@Colorado State	L31-49	0.8	12	157	13.1	1	—	—	—	0.66
1	vsUTSA	W23-20	-11.2	3	13	4.3	0	—	—	—	-0.39

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

17.6%

Passing plays

4.3%

Rushing plays

21.9%

Standard downs

18.8%

Passing downs

14.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.25
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.22 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.