#6Tyler Brown

WR·Clemson·2025

Tyler Brown is a Versatile WR for Clemson. Tyler's 2025 season produced 15.3 total EPA across 36 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tyler Brown's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

22 Receptions191 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.7 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns41 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume16
Explosiveness11
Consistency20
Pass-Down14

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency20th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 1.02 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Furman.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Dane Kinamon	Air Force	2021	39	0.410	0.7	16.0
Keytaon Thompson	Virginia	2021	41	0.370	0.6	15.2
Micah Davis	Air Force	2021	44	0.370	0.6	16.3
JoJo Natson	Utah State	2014	51	0.390	1.0	19.9
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsLSU	L10-17	10.3	4	43	10.8	0	17	0.08
2	vsTroy	W27-16	-4.8	4	45	11.3	0	23	0.75
3	@Georgia Tech	L21-24	9.3	2	7	3.5	0	6	0.43
4	vsSyracuse	L21-34	-13.1	3	33	11.0	0	14	0.88
6	@North Carolina	W38-10	-6.6	2	9	4.5	0	5	-1.00
7	@Boston College	W41-10	-8.5	1	2	2.0	0	2	-0.65
8	vsSMU	L24-35	13.4	1	9	9.0	0	9	0.14
10	vsDuke	L45-46	6.6	2	12	6.0	0	6	0.51
13	vsFurman	W45-10	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.02
20	vsPenn State	L10-22	18.1	3	31	10.3	0	20	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

5.6%

Passing plays

8.3%

Rushing plays

2.1%

Standard downs

5.1%

Passing downs

6.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.50
Passing downs: 0.28
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.28 / 1.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).