#2Trevone Boykin

QB·TCU·2015 201412.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Trevone Boykin is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for TCU. Trevone's 2014 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 579 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Trevone Boykin's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2014 Production

Passing

301/492 Comp/Att3901 Pass yards33 Pass TD10 INT61.2% Comp %

Rushing

707 Rush yards8 Rush TD152 Carries4.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs QB peers

Efficiency53
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency80
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.68 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Texas Tech (SP+ 5).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Trace McSorley	Penn State	2017	626	0.513	12.7	321.0
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Baker Mayfield	Oklahoma	2015	577	0.561	14.1	323.7
Bailey Zappe	Western Kentucky	2021	620	0.600	13.3	372.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSamford	W48-14	—	29/41	320	2	0	85.9	29	1	0.39
3	vsMinnesota	W30-7	6.8	27/46	258	2	1	51.5	92	0	0.09
5	@SMU	W56-0	-21.2	23/36	280	4	0	91.7	62	2	0.57
6	vsOklahoma	W37-33	19.2	20/38	318	2	1	50.6	77	0	0.32
7	@Baylor	L58-61	23.9	21/47	287	1	0	49.3	45	0	0.05
8	vsOklahoma State	W42-9	8.6	26/39	410	3	1	79.5	41	0	0.49
9	vsTexas Tech	W82-27	4.9	22/39	433	7	0	86.1	28	0	0.68
10	@West Virginia	W31-30	8.4	12/30	166	1	1	22.1	49	1	-0.01
11	vsKansas State	W41-20	16.3	23/34	219	1	0	87.0	123	3	0.43
12	@Kansas	W34-30	-9.8	26/36	330	1	1	61.9	2	0	0.17
14	@Texas	W48-10	9.0	20/34	233	2	1	63.2	50	1	0.20
15	vsIowa State	W55-3	-7.9	30/41	460	4	1	69.2	44	0	0.65
1	vsOle Miss	W42-3	20.7	22/31	187	3	3	67.6	65	0	0.26

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

60.8%

Passing plays

93.6%

Rushing plays

26.9%

Standard downs

54.0%

Passing downs

76.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.48
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.25 / 0.40

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 — 2015 · 24 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2014	TCU	12.7	0.505	—	315.4
2015	TCU	11.9	0.542	+0.04	282.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.