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Tayvion Robinson
Tayvion Robinson

#9Tayvion Robinson

Tayvion Robinson is a Slot Specialist WR for Kentucky. Tayvion's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 55 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tayvion Robinson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
41 Receptions552 Rec yards4 Rec TD13.5 Yards/rec
Returns
4 Kick returns44 KR yards0 KR TD5 Punt returns22 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume23
  • Explosiveness43
  • Consistency79
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.83 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.22 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Eastern Kentucky.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh0.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force0.4701.328.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State0.4601.232.2
Bert Emanuel Jr.Central Michigan0.4601.624.4
Savion WilliamsTCU0.4501.125.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.2202.22Wk 1 vs Ball State: +1.33 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Eastern Kentucky: +2.22 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Akron: +1.92 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Vanderbilt: +2.04 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Florida: +0.31 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Georgia: +0.76 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Missouri: +0.98 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Tennessee: -0.09 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Mississippi State: +1.39 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Alabama: +1.25 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs South Carolina: +0.25 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Louisville: +0.18 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsBall StateW44-14-14.933812.70161.33
2vsEastern KentuckyW28-17613622.72562.22
3vsAkronW35-3-21.658617.21281.92
4@VanderbiltW45-28-12.722311.50122.04
5vsFloridaW33-146.83258.30120.31
6@GeorgiaL13-5131.2294.5060.76
7vsMissouriL21-3819.322110.50120.98
9vsTennesseeL27-3316.233311.0016-0.09
10@Mississippi StateW24-30.559118.20371.39
11vsAlabamaL21-4923.12105.0161.25
12@South CarolinaL14-174.33299.70180.25
13@LouisvilleW38-318.0166.0060.18
20vsClemsonL35-3810.544511.3024

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.9%
Passing plays
14.1%
Rushing plays
0.6%
Standard downs
6.5%
Passing downs
10.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.60
Passing downs
1.17
Pass / Rush EPA
0.89 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.